As fast as forward speed is, it could hold together well. But wind forecasts are overdone for some reason, 99% of the time the last few yearsOh poop
As fast as forward speed is, it could hold together well. But wind forecasts are overdone for some reason, 99% of the time the last few yearsOh poop
Yeah but models, especially the Euro and HRRR, were showing stronger winds than that with Isaias that never verified. Now if that lp tracks like the Euro shows, with those winds at H85 like @Myfrotho704_ posted above, bulk shear, a little instability, high PW than there's going to be some severe, no doubtTaking the clown maps literally, gusts would exceed what we got from Isaias. NC mountains would get the Camille treatment.
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I could see those gusts being close in this case if the system stays intact and we get a line of storms.Yeah but models, especially the Euro and HRRR, were showing stronger winds than that with Isaias that never verified. Now if that lp tracks like the Euro shows, with those winds at H85 like @Myfrotho704_ posted above, bulk shear, a little instability, high PW than there's going to be some severe, no doubt
Yeah that's more of what I was getting at I can see those winds or higher if a squall line blows throughI could see those gusts being close in this case if the system stays intact and we get a line of storms.
Outside of the mountains yes though I could see us getting into the 20-30 range SaturdayThat Euro storm wind map seemed a bit excessive. They always seem to overdue those, so I’m not surprised. I doubt we will see 60mph wind gusts without storms or rain bands pushing the wind to the surface, right?
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Outside of the mountains yes though I could see us getting into the 20-30 range Saturday
I see the ICON shifted back north and the GFS continues to be the northern most, curious to see what Euro shows in a bit
edit: Still should be a decent squall line with the ICON
I wonder why the winds would be stronger in Charlotte than in Winston Salem ? Closer to the center ?most guidance is at least 30mph with euro the most extreme near 60mph for Charlotte Metro. That’s just too much wind for any areas with wet soils. View attachment 47369