NoSnowATL
Member
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Tropical Hurricane Idalia
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
Haven’t had serious rain here for a couple weeks really and this is looking like an opportunity to get a typical panhandle hit and track right overhead
NoSnowATL
Member
Henry2326
Member
93L HWRF 18z
Been waiting on it....
Been waiting on it....
Henry2326
Member
18z HMON....
Henry2326
Member
00z
Well GFS and Euro couldn't be further apart, track wise. GFS outlier atm
lexxnchloe
Member
Franklin may play a big part in where 93 goes. Euro has Franklin 2 degrees further west this AM closer to NC. Getting close to where they could interact.
Doubt there will be any interaction between the two but further west Franklin is and if future Idalia develops quick enough, less the ridge builds between the two and more NE track. 0z GFS had ringing between them stronger with w track and inland west of apps. 06z GFS already ticking east with LF and inland track east of apps. All bets are off until we have a developed system though
It looks to be consolidating in the Yucatan Channel so it appears land interaction with the Yucatan Peninsula won't be able to delay development. TS by this evening seems likely.
The system is in a moist environment with little to no shear evident on satellite. Looks like all systems are a go to me.
Henry2326
Member
Four days over the sauna known as the Gulf of Mexico is rather concerning. It'll probably wind up a little faster if it strengthens quicker like it seems poised to do, but still.
The biggest takeaway from that is that it looks like it might be forming a center over water instead of hanging back over the Yucatán Peninsula. If that’s the case it gives it an extra day over that bath water
It'll traverse the worst area of the GOM for TCHP. Even the shelf waters in the eastern GOM are at their seasonal peak and then some.
vsublazer
Member
NWS Atlanta thoughts and impacts to GA so far.
BHS1975
Member
This thing is wrapping up quick.
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