Yall are silly. It can go back west as well. I will say let's get a better stacked system and let's go from there.
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Tropical Hurricane Idalia
- Thread starter $alt
- Start date
I haven’t posted on here in a long while, but I decided to chime in and say regardless of the track, the Carolina’s are going to see some beneficial rainfall. And we will still see moisture from Idalia, too. So, for everyone just tossing this system to the side, chill. Some of you all get over dramatic way too quickly. Lol
NoSnowATL
Member
Or learn sarcasm.
We all know deep inside we aren’t just looking for rainfall. We like big weather events. We are secretly looking for a Cat 5 with all its power and destruction. Just without the lives lost.
iGRXY
Member
Exactly, this is a crazy shift east before the thing even begins getting its act together. I’d be willing to bet you see some type of correction back to the west some. The next thing to worry about is if this thing continues to meander the way it’s been and the trough actually misses the storm all together which could also happen
iGRXY
Member
Who is we lol …
Looks like Iowa and RAH will have the same impacts! ?
Snow_chaser
Member
Ida b lia n if I said I knew where it was going for sure lol
jeremyt
Member
I am far from being as well versed as the NHC, that’s easy to say and obvious! My question is with some of the hurricane models being stronger wouldn’t that mean a more poleward storm? Not wishcasting or dreaming but just my thoughts!
Nah man I don't want to see anyone get a cat 5. 99% of the time they are just rain and breezy conditions when they get here regardless of how strong they are when they make landfall. Especially with gulf coast landfalls. I follow tropical systems for the rain imby. In my 42 years I've never seen a tropical system even bring cat 1 winds to the upstate. The closest was Hugo which may have came close to having gusts to hurricane force in the eastern upstate. It's just unrealistic for one to hope for a hurricane this far inland.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
We definitely had Cat 1 winds in GA from Opal in 1995.
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the Gulf coast of Florida
from Chokoloskee to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay.
A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Gulf coast of Florida
from Englewood to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Gulf coast of
Florida south of Englewood to Chokoloskee, and for the Dry Tortugas.
from Chokoloskee to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay.
A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Gulf coast of Florida
from Englewood to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Gulf coast of
Florida south of Englewood to Chokoloskee, and for the Dry Tortugas.
Brent
Member
Now predicting a Cat 2 before landfall this has gone up each advisory
Whatever track aside, the upper level environment is gonna be rocking at it comes ashore. Looks like the Euro has finally figured that out. Franklin may actually help ventilate it and probably be ripped apart in the process.
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Brent
Member
Probably the only chance of slowing it down is some ingesting of the dry air over the western gulf. Not gonna be easy with any SW shear from the trough being negated by the NE movement.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Ugh. I go fishing every year in Homosassa near Crystal River. Lot of great, hard working folks down there who would be devastated by that track. The basin is a super shallow limestone shelf that goes out many miles into the gulf and that track would push a wall of water up the rivers
Yeah I remember that down in GA. But that's a lot closer to the gulf than up here. I remember Michael went right over my parents house about 60 miles se of here 18 hrs after landfall and had maybe 45 mph winds. It would take an Atlantic landfall to bring big wind to the upstate but I've never seen one track up through here that made landfall in the Atlantic. That's almost unheard of. I'm sure it's happened at some point in history but usually they are already headed north or northeast at landfall