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Tropical Hurricane Idalia

For the 1st time the 18z Icon have shifted track inland riding along the coast of SC. Bad conditions expected in SC.
 
3k nam sucks with TS I know but it sure has a nice inland track, tons of rain
Probably some clown wind maps with it too
 
Other than some slight deviations along the SC coast, they have back to moving right along the coast again, the NHC really has kept that track pretty much the same since yesterday morning. They have slowed things considerably once off the NC coast… it will be interesting to see if they start slowing it down over land if the models continue the trend of a slower storm after landfall
 
NOAA dropsonde has it at 985 mb with 17 kt so most likely 983 mb.

recon_NOAA3-0810A-IDALIA_dropsonde4_20230828-2210.png
 
3k nam sucks with TS I know but it sure has a nice inland track, tons of rain
Probably some clown wind maps with it too
Yeah, I'm pulling for the (more) inland track to give us some early fall temps (..I'm more of a cold weather fan). We need precipitation..


18z NAM midday Thursday:
1693266349025.png
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 85.1W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
 
This may have been mentioned already but something that is alarming but these hurricane models that are really dropping the pressure near landfall are all initially showing the storm as the lopsided look that it is right now.
 
Getting close.
Idalia_26-27Aug23_lbj_recent.gif
Interesting looks like center maybe passing over western tip of Cuba, if so, that's a touch east of most models initialization. Minor stuff but minor movements one way or other could have huge implications since it will be paralleling the coast
 
More Gefs members are s
Interesting looks like center maybe passing over western tip of Cuba, if so, that's a touch east of most models initialization. Minor stuff but minor movements one way or other could have huge implications since it will be paralleling the coast
Someone mentioned on another board the recon saying the center is further west off Cuba. I don’t believe it
 
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