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Tropical Hurricane Idalia

Euro doesn’t look like it has much intensification. Would a stronger storm resist East movement some?
No, the trough is gonna kick anything east. The southward movement, delaying it's move north, has given the trough time to kick it east. We might not be done with east shifts.

At least the Euro gives Ga and SC coast some good action too
 
Last night

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_watl_23.png



This afternoon

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_watl_19.png



9MB stronger at 21z tues
 
I know this is a different storm but with Hilary, Las Vegas received flooding rains when it made landfall over 300 miles away.

Unless this thing tracks so far SE that it goes across Florida, anywhere in NC/SC/GA will probably see a lot of rain. Especially with the frontal system.

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They are awfully close to each other here. Past this point alot can happen. It might not show it now but stalling off the coast may happen in future runs

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_watl_26.png
 
Idalia has a very uncertain future once off the GA coast. Euro says a min cane is possible here and i would not be surprised if in future runs it comes back around.
 
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