SimeonNC
Member
Ian is now a major
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
-
- Tags
- tropical
Belle Lechat
Member
- Joined
- Aug 29, 2021
- Messages
- 1,100
- Reaction score
- 847
Time : 062020 UTC
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 952mb / 102kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.8 6.3
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 952mb / 102kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.8 6.3
Belle Lechat
Member
- Joined
- Aug 29, 2021
- Messages
- 1,100
- Reaction score
- 847
BHS1975
Member
Euro way east caving to the ukie.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Belle Lechat
Member
- Joined
- Aug 29, 2021
- Messages
- 1,100
- Reaction score
- 847
Time : 065020 UTC
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.8 / 948mb / 110kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.8 5.9 6.4
952mb to 948 in 30 min.
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.8 / 948mb / 110kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.8 5.9 6.4
952mb to 948 in 30 min.
Shaggy
Member
looks like eps has several members out into the atlantic again with a SC / GA landfall. Doesn't get far enough offshore to really gain any strength though would be my guess. That high centered over NY needs to be further north or slower to move in if we want to see this clear into the Atlantic far enough to restrengthen
Landfall on Cuba. Can track via radar now, looks solid
HDGator
Member
Beam height is about 33,000 ft at that distance from KBYX radar. But he looks way more organized than at any point so far. The symmetry on the eyewall has really improved over the past 6-8 hours on radar. Now let's see how he handles Cuba.
HDGator
Member
000
WTNT64 KNHC 270831
TCUAT4
Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
430 AM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022
...IAN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND MAKES LANDFALL OVER WESTERN
CUBA...
Satellite and radar data indicate that the center of Ian has made
landfall just southwest of the town of La Coloma in the Pinar Del
Rio Province of Cuba at 430 AM EDT...0830 UTC. Maximum sustained
winds at landfall were estimated to be 125 MPH (205 KM/H). This
makes Ian a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Wind Scale.
SUMMARY OF 430 AM EDT...0830 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 83.7W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM S OF THE CITY OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown
WTNT64 KNHC 270831
TCUAT4
Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
430 AM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022
...IAN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND MAKES LANDFALL OVER WESTERN
CUBA...
Satellite and radar data indicate that the center of Ian has made
landfall just southwest of the town of La Coloma in the Pinar Del
Rio Province of Cuba at 430 AM EDT...0830 UTC. Maximum sustained
winds at landfall were estimated to be 125 MPH (205 KM/H). This
makes Ian a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Wind Scale.
SUMMARY OF 430 AM EDT...0830 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 83.7W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM S OF THE CITY OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown
Crawling N
BHS1975
Member
Looks like it’s crawling on radar
Henry2326
Member
00z UK.....2nd LF
06z ICON,,,,,,2nd LF
00z HMON....2nd LF....SC
06z global models....big shift east and continues trend of 2nd LF SC
06z NAM...SC
06z ICON,,,,,,2nd LF
00z HMON....2nd LF....SC
06z global models....big shift east and continues trend of 2nd LF SC
06z NAM...SC
Last edited:
BHS1975
Member
I was originally south of Tampa at 110mph -120mph. However looking how the HMON is constantly 115knts and the HWRF is 115knts to 120knts just west of Tampa, I might have to raise it up. Chance of a Cat 4 hitting Tampa is quickly rising.
BHS1975
Member
Probably will, but the effects of hitting even south of Tampa will be rough, although not worst case.
BHS1975
Member
Henry2326
Member
NHC. 5 am
No more gradual decrease....just "bam" at 120 mph.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/0900Z 22.3N 83.7W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 23.7N 83.7W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 25.4N 83.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 26.7N 83.1W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 27.6N 82.6W 105 KT 120 MPH
60H 29/1800Z 28.3N 82.2W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/0600Z 29.0N 82.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
96H 01/0600Z 31.7N 82.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 02/0600Z 35.0N 82.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
No more gradual decrease....just "bam" at 120 mph.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/0900Z 22.3N 83.7W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 23.7N 83.7W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 25.4N 83.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 26.7N 83.1W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 27.6N 82.6W 105 KT 120 MPH
60H 29/1800Z 28.3N 82.2W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/0600Z 29.0N 82.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
96H 01/0600Z 31.7N 82.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 02/0600Z 35.0N 82.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND