• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Ian

Could it hit cat 5 today? Seems very possible.
Sure looks like it. Both recon passes show slow deepening even over land with extrapolated pressure readings of 947Mb and 946Mb respectively. I expect some weakening as the eye is currently traversing the hilly terrain right now, but the storm sure looks poised to just explode in the SE gulf today into tonight.

recon_NOAA2-2009A-IAN.png
 
Not that we're surprised but this part of Cuba not effecting Ian much if at all, the eye had become a little ragged but looks good again and is just about back over water. Also may have wobbled NNE a tad but probably too early to discuss the wobbles lol

1664280857279.gif
 
Not the most impressive eye atm. Let’s see if she can get her act back together between Cuba and the Florida coast.
 
I've seen enough of these storms in the gulf to recognize when one has everything going for it to rapidly strengthen. This one has it.
They always seem to over perform on forecasted strength.
Ian is about to hit bath water with no shear.
Exactly. This thing has mid to upper 80 degree waters and with it's NE movement the shear is going to help venting the storm. Very easily could see a 150 mph Cat 4 right off the coast of Florida.
 
If this does emerge back over the Atl it will be a shadow of it's former self with little to no re-intensification. So even if that scenario played out, it would be a weak system for 2nd landfall and would have bigger implications for qpf in certain areas and maybe severe threats.
 
Back
Top