These post are better in banter thread unless you can provide reasoning, otherwise they just clog up the threadI’ll believe it when I see it. But I don’t think so.
These post are better in banter thread unless you can provide reasoning, otherwise they just clog up the threadI’ll believe it when I see it. But I don’t think so.
No, but potentially a 4.Could it hit cat 5 today? Seems very possible.
Sure looks like it. Both recon passes show slow deepening even over land with extrapolated pressure readings of 947Mb and 946Mb respectively. I expect some weakening as the eye is currently traversing the hilly terrain right now, but the storm sure looks poised to just explode in the SE gulf today into tonight.Could it hit cat 5 today? Seems very possible.
Possible. Probably unlikely, but I think it will have to happen in the next 12 hrs or so.Could it hit cat 5 today? Seems very possible.
Exactly. This thing has mid to upper 80 degree waters and with it's NE movement the shear is going to help venting the storm. Very easily could see a 150 mph Cat 4 right off the coast of Florida.I've seen enough of these storms in the gulf to recognize when one has everything going for it to rapidly strengthen. This one has it.
They always seem to over perform on forecasted strength.
Ian is about to hit bath water with no shear.
6Z pulled back west a touch once over land. 0z had the core emerging right on the coast and the atlantic before being tugged back west.