Belle Lechat
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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
-
- Tags
- tropical
SnowNiner
Member
To the east, I bet she goes. Still not buying the hard left. It may, but I'd be very surprised.
holy crap, that's insane 
iGRXY
Member
Ukie is on an island being that far up North so I'm sticking with guidance, and the other globals showing a LF between Hilton Head and Charleston.
weather bubba
Member
That's about where Hurricane Hazel hit in 1954. For the really old timers in Eastern North Carolina, Hazel is still the benchmark that hurricanes is measured by.
Ukie is on an island being that far up North so I'm sticking with guidance, and the other globals showing a LF between Hilton Head and Charleston.
Agreed...but GEFS has a cluster up that way, and UK led the way for a more eastern track into atlantic.
campamy
Member
Yikes. This morning on Sanibel vs. right before it went offline a couple minutes ago.
Recon is about to do a center pass.
severestorm
Member
BHS1975
Member
Cloud tops warming now.
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Belle Lechat
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makes sense, half of it is over land.
My aunt and uncle live in Pelican Bay just north of Naples. Pretty sure their condo is going to get flooded with how it’s looking. What a beast this storm is.
god bless every person affected by this
BHS1975
Member
Taylor C
Member
The strength is going to last longer into the harbor with there still being water.
BHS1975
Member
Yesterdays HWRF and HMON were spectacular concerning the quick ERC and RIC cycle.
Mike Siedel just said this is one of the worst hurricanes he has ever been in.
Belle Lechat
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It looked liked it.
Jack Roney
Member
106mph gust at Punta Gorda showing up for the last hour
JHS
Member
Euro down to 980MB at 48 hours.
JHS
Member
Headed towards Hilton Head it looks like at 980MB.
Last edited:
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Euro is still ticking faster and farther N/NE looks like landfall will be near HHI
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If you split the difference between the northern camps(UKMET, ICON, NAM) and the southern camp(GEM, GFS, EURO) you end up with Charleston. I feel like thats gonna be a decent enough call.
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Consensus? There is a split camp. I know the southern solution affects the mountains more but it's anything but a consensus right now.
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
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Consensus from the Hurricane models.
Belle Lechat
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Nah. The same was said when Michael came in too. This one is as bad and will cause a LOT more damage.
That said, I see the palms still aren't defoliated, so meh.