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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

Will Rossman said:
I still think that a worst case would be a major cane slowly crawling up the East Coast, not so far inland to weaken too fast or lose the Gulf Stream fuel, and not far enough out to sea to prevent chaos and coastal destruction.
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I hate bringing it up over and over, but that kind of was what Matthew was a few years back, and it actually kinda mostly spared Florida but it was very messy for low lying cities on the coast like Savannah and Charleston.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I hate bringing it up over and over, but that kind of was what Matthew was a few years back, and it actually kinda mostly spared Florida but it was very messy for low lying cities on the coast like Savannah and Charleston.
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Was bad at SAV even though center 35 miles E. trees down everywhere/power out up to 2 weeks some areas. Storm surge sig. Glad I had left for 4-5 days.
 
GaWx said:
It corrected and may have even overcorrected for all I know. But it had been way west into the GOM when others were over FL. Biased doesn't mean every run is too far left, just the average and especially when it is left on its own. I've been observing this for many storms the last few years.
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Just making an observation that we don't discount as much solutions that are better for us....regardless if it makes any sense....human nature
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I hate bringing it up over and over, but that kind of was what Matthew was a few years back, and it actually kinda mostly spared Florida but it was very messy for low lying cities on the coast like Savannah and Charleston.
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Find the YouTube videos of St. Augustine and JAX ... :(
 
pcbjr said:
Find the YouTube videos of St. Augustine and JAX ... :(
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yeah you know what, maybe the better wording for that was the northeast coast of Florida through the entire coast of Georgia/South Carolina had issues.

I'm remembering now that I was remarking that the same areas that I was in at St Augustine I think were flooded.
 
pcbjr said:
Find the YouTube videos of St. Augustine and JAX ... :(
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I saw the Jax one. Basically had the storm not jogged 40 miles east, they believe it would have been devastating, without a direct hit. Although, it was very ugly with the surge up the river.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
yeah you know what, maybe the better wording for that was the northeast coast of Florida through the entire coast of Georgia/South Carolina had issues.

I'm remembering now that I was remarking that the same areas that I was in at St Augustine I think were flooded.
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Yeah, those more inland I think had less impacts from Matthew, from what I remember seeing at the time. But the coast was wrecked all across the lower Atlantic seaboard. Regarding the current similarities with Dorian, CMC looks to be taking him on an eerily similar track on the 12Z run, and most models seem to be drifting in this western course from yesterday's OTS hopes unfortunately.
 
Henry2326 said:
I saw the Jax one. Basically had the storm not jogged 40 miles east, they believe it would have been devastating, without a direct hit. Although, it was very ugly with the surge up the river.
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San Marco (right across the river from downtown JAX) was submerged ...
 
That CNN headline might get a lot of people f’d up.

Seeing a lot of people share it saying “see I told y’all it won’t hit us, I’m not even preparing”.
 
GaWx said:
It corrected and may have even overcorrected for all I know. But it had been way west into the GOM when others were over FL. Biased doesn't mean every run is too far left, just the average and especially when it is left on its own. I've been observing this for many storms the last few years.
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I still think it wants to be an I 75 special, and in that regard I cleaned out the gutters yesterday, and I intend to not wash my car several times over this long weekend in an attempt to push the storm away.
 
HMON just nails Great Abaco of the northwestern Bahamas in a little over a day, then it stalls over Grand Bahama, ouch.

edit: and comparing to the 6z, it's absolutely brutal for Grand Bahama.
 
GaWx said:
Appears to be speeding up again although not to quite as fast as last night. Already close to 73.75 W I think. 12 MPH last 2 hours?
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If aI am not mistaken its going run a bit south of the NHC 18z plot from the adv earlier this am. and a bit faster. I Am trying to find that lat/long
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Both the hurricane models seem well west (by at least 50-100 miles), one brings brutal impact on the Bahamas in a little over a day, and the other is still impactful but not as much....sheesh, fun forecast here eh? (not really)

HMON seems as if it wants to bring this cane in in North Florida.
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Yea well west wow. Off to Euro and ensembles .
 
HMON is making landfall in southeast Georgia @93 hours.
hmon_ref_05L_39.png
 
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