Tropical Hurricane Dorian

[PEA_RIDGE]

THIS IS THE 00Z ICON
THERE IS A GOOD TICK SW

 

[Shawn]

Nevermind, it turns out I was wrong about Deloras.. but it ends up being a pretty cool name for this storm versus a generic name:

Dorian /ˈdɔːriən/ is a unisex given name of Greek origin. In Greek the meaning of the name Dorian is: Of Doris, a district of Greece; or of Doros, a legendary Greek hero. Doros was the son of Hellen of Sparta (who was the daughter of Zeus and Leda). Doros was the founder of the Dorian tribe, and the most likely origin of Doros' name was the Greek word "doron", meaning "gift". The Dorians were an obscure, ancient Hellenic tribe that were supposed to have existed in the north-eastern regions of Greece, ancient Macedonia and Epirus.
Another possible origin of the name Dorian, is from the Greek "Dorios", meaning 'child of the sea' .[1]

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Not Slower? The 1st image is the 00Z Icon at hour 93 The 2nd Image is the 18Z ICON at hour 120View attachment 22272View attachment 22271

To compare apples to apples you need to compare the 0Z run at hour 114 to hour 18Z hour 120 if you want an apples to apples comparison.

 

[Brent]

Dorian is definitely male lol if genders still exist in 2019 ?

Oh and the pressure is up 7 mb on that recon pass dry air really cutting into it atm

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Not Slower? The 1st image is the 00Z Icon at hour 93 The 2nd Image is the 18Z ICON at hour 120View attachment 22272View attachment 22271

 

[Arcc]

Not Slower? The 1st image is the 00Z Icon at hour 93 The 2nd Image is the 18Z ICON at hour 120View attachment 22272View attachment 22271

The top image is valid at 21z Sunday and the bottom is 18z Monday. That shows the 0z is almost a full day faster ahead of 18z.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

ICON prob heading toward southern FL

YES IT RIDES THE ENTIRE STATE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS A HURRICANE

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Dorian is 7 MB stronger on this GFS run compared to 18z at 78 so far.

 

[GaWx]

0Z GFS probably headed for a N FL hit.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

>30% chance of rapid intensification on Thursday on the models. We could be looking at something completely different tomorrow night.

 

[ncskywarn]

Interesting run ICON tracks SW off the peninsula from hour 105 to 120. Then turns West and makes landfall North of Miami and as soon as it makers landfall it take an immediate sharp right turn moves NNW up the peninsula.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Interesting run ICON tracks SW off the peninsula from hour 105 to 120. Then turns West and makes landfall North of Miami and as soon as it makers landfall it take an immediate sharp right turn moves NNW up the peninsula.

Effects from trough kicking in.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

31% chance on the models it’s a CAT 4 early as Friday per Dr. Masters.

 

[Brent]

GFS is still gonna be north of the Euro by a good bit actually it looks like it shifted north

 

[GaWx]

0Z gfs going to hit GA hard it appears. Ouch.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Is this run about to try for the rare GA landfall or be a just miss?

Edit: nah, North FL it is most likely. Still looks nasty.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

GA/FL border on the GFS?

 

[Brent]

if the Euro doesn't move this is gonna be quite the disagreement at day 4

 

[Shaggy]

0Z GFS probably headed for a N FL hit.

Looks like the center of the ridge is a bit further east at 0z? More north of bermuda.

 

[ncskywarn]

The top image is valid at 21z Sunday and the bottom is 18z Monday. That shows the 0z is almost a full day faster ahead of 18z.

Sorry it's been a long day I got it backwards sorry about that.

I deleted all references to it being slower.