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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...26.6N 78.0W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM E OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...914 MB...26.99 INCHES
 
I'm certain "suspenseful" isn't the word I would use for a community that might be blown to pieces....our homes, schools, and communities could take years to re-build.
Exactly. I meant a slow motion horror suspense, certainly not an action movie event. Trust me, here on the Gulf coast, every time I stare one of these storms down it's a pretty sick gut wrenching emotion. I hope everyone is safe along the east coast.
 
GFS rain
gfs_apcpn_seus_18.png
 
This ridge ??‍♂️ As its trending stronger, it’s tucking in Dorian more/pushing Dorian south , and trying to bridge over Dorian, but the troughs trended a bit stronger aswell 5B5BFDAA-2FFA-427F-A718-17BE6A63E9B1.gif
 
Winds at 850 level not at surface but gives you a good idea of that expanding wind field and probably some decent gust inland
a057034006aefc2b8450e4b99af6df1c.gif


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Is this actually going to turn? How confident are we this is going to turn?

It should eventually slow and turn, the question is when and where and it's going to have big implications downstream.

That's where I think this hurricane could sadly have one more trick up its sleeve.
 
At time of this image was just a hair north of the track, looking at current sat image probably has wobbled back to right on top of the track..

View attachment 22810

I remembered this for reference.

Looking at IR, it looks already south and west of the NHC points, still moving west with south wobbles.
 
It’s gonna turn sure. But people need to prepare just like they would for a hit. Especially in the Carolinas because I certainly believe the eye will pop ashore somewhere briefly


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It should eventually slow and turn, the question is when and where and it's going to have big implications downstream.

That's where I think this hurricane could sadly have one more trick up its sleeve.
Completely agree! Too slow to develop this scenario, too much room for tricks.
 
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