Henry2326
Member
Legacy 00z is northeast of 18z at 66.
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Tropical Hurricane Dorian
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Brent
Member
its early and I wanna see a few more runs but I'm starting to get more encouraged about OTS solutions
now having said that, everytime I've tried to declare a trend its gone the other way lol
now having said that, everytime I've tried to declare a trend its gone the other way lol
Shaggy
Member
Got to believe the models are getting a better grip with all the data getting ingested now.
Same here, Ive got my mouth shut before I look even more clueless.
I will say that 1st weakness is closing quickly tho
Ridges are trying to bridge back by hr84
Downeastnc
Member
This is why I try to not put to much stock in anything over 3 days.....at this point I am fairly sure its gonna turn north rather suddenly, after that meh its probably gonna change a few times, how deep is the trough, does the storm get OTS in time before it gets blocked, is there some ULL that isnt modeled well in the 5-7 day range that is going to dive into the lower Miss Valley and capture it etc...
Turning back WNW at hr 90? Wth is going on
Shaggy
Member
Bridged back at 90hr
Brent
Member
still way NE at 90, maybe the Carolinas?
SAV area bound?
Cadi40
Member
Landfall around GA/SC around 102 on the GFS?
Brent
Member
or GA/SC works too lol
GeorgiaGirl
Member
ummm:
based off this I almost think that we're about to see Dorian get pushed in at least somewhere in the Carolinas.
But this thread has 86 pages since this storm has been confusing.
based off this I almost think that we're about to see Dorian get pushed in at least somewhere in the Carolinas.
But this thread has 86 pages since this storm has been confusing.
It is, but its moving NW. Another new look this run. And there really isn't a trof to get it yet. Maybe hook into GA?
accu35
Member
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Makes you wonder by day 4 or 5 if Dorian gets shove more west and inland into north Florida Geo
Got to wonder that far out in time with a different solution it could truck west into north Florida/Georgia inland.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
So the trough tried to capture Dorian based off what I can tell, kinda did but might not have strongly enough and now we have the ridges building back in and leading to a southeast landfall anyway.
Didn’t see this coming. Legacy has a Cat 4 landfall around Myrtle/Wilmington
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Cadi40
Member
Yes, but why not be unique
Downeastnc
Member
Its faster for sure much farther north than last run which had it around Cape Canaveral at 108 versus east of Savannah, this should be a pretty good smack into Charleston.