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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

NHC is going with coastal and that's 5 now more east ... we'll see but it's hard to bet against the table in their own room ...

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ICON is faster this run.
 
Icon landfall is brutal to watch...its obviously hitting a wall and takes a day and half before it turns north.
 
Henry2326 said:
That's really the fastest they have changed it during this storm. Usually we don't see a change until next day.....or maybe it just feels like that.
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This far out they are very cautious; they would not have taken the peninsula out of the middle if they didn't have good confidence ... too much population to just take a drink and decide to toss the Euro up for the night to see if it sticks, in other words ...
 
ICON still goes southwest after landfalling but it's north...too tired to check out H5 but a beginning trend towards joining in on an offshore solution?

edit: but if this were to be the solution it'd be brutal.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
ICON still goes southwest after landfalling but it's north...too tired to check out H5 but a beginning trend towards joining in on an offshore solution?

edit: but if this were to be the solution it'd be brutal.
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Nothing much about Icon yet that says offshore...its just brutal. They are playing catch up.
 
Loving it ... the 11:00 PM NHC update ... and there's enough dry staples stashed to ride out the next one without even a thought of a visit to Publix (or barring a next one, enough stashed to feed the unwanted relatives on T-Day ... LOL ...) neither of which is a pleasant thought ...
 
pcbjr said:
Loving it ... the 11:00 PM NHC update ... and there's enough dry staples stashed to ride out the next one without even a thought of a visit to Publix (or barring a next one, enough stashed to feed the unwanted relatives on T-Day ... LOL ...) neither of which is a pleasant thought ...
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Looking at both Euro and GFS, appears we may do this again in 2 weeks and the 2 weeks after that. Good times...
 
GFS Legacy might be relatively safely OTS here now.

Not sure about the GFS but it did look like it was about to start turning NE much sooner than 18z.

Edit: if this trough is about to pick up Dorian, this run is going to be quite shocking (and pretty good for most of the coast) even though we've been trending this way:

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