Hurricane Debby

[Belle Lechat]

8:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 3
Location: 24.1°N 83.3°W
Moving: NW at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

 

[Henry2326]

Geez...look at that train.

 

[Henry2326]

Who thinks it's higher than 40 mph now.

Definitely consolidating.....

 

[Chazwin]

wtf is the GFS even doing

View attachment 149307

Honestly it’s very similar to what the 12z EURO did yesterday. Not saying it’s right, but when steering currents break down, weird things can happen… remember Florence in 2018

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Brent]

Recon first pass is still a mess

 

[Belle Lechat]

Recon first pass is still a mess

This map only goes to 7:50 Eastern at time of posting.

 

[Belle Lechat]

003100 2408N 08204W 6963 03194 0079 +099 +084 163032 033 037 000 00
8:31 PM Eastern
Peak 10-second average surface wind speed

37 kts=42.6 mph

 

[Belle Lechat]

Dvorak

 

[Belle Lechat]

NOAA is doing an eye pass right now.

 

[Shaggy]

NOAA is doing an eye pass right now.

There is no eye to pass through. They will do a center fix and that center is still organizing

 

[Belle Lechat]

There is no eye to pass through. They will do a center fix and that center is still organizing

Right, thank you.

/NOAA plane still hasn't updated.

 

[Belle Lechat]

NOAA lowest extrapolated surface pressure this pass 1004.0 mb.
005130 2409N 08341W 6956 03194 0040 +126 +048 011012 012 022 000 00

 

[Brent]

Still got a lot of work to do

 

[Shaggy]

Still got a lot of work to do

Needs a big burst over the center and to shed some of those bands

 

[Brent]

Pressure down several mb that pass

 

[Belle Lechat]

015130 2405N 08321W 9250 00693 0008 +226 +221 267006 007 008 002 00
9:51 PM Eastern
1000.8 mb

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

3k NAM

 

[Belle Lechat]

11:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 3
Location: 24.4°N 83.6°W
Moving: NW at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1003 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph

 

[Brent]

Pressure drop was a fluke although they did raise the landfall forecast to 85 mph which is about what Beryl had in Texas