• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Hurricane Debby

GaWx said:
12Z UK: similar to 0Z with LF just E of Apalachicola; then NNE move to WC GA, then ENE/E to CHS, then turns up coast NNE into E NC followed by NE through VA, NE US, SE Can: not as bad flood threat vs other models due to less slowing SE US followed by accel. with it already in NC at 120 vs near GA/SC border GFS/CMC/0Z Euro:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04L ANALYSED POSITION : 21.9N 81.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 03.08.2024 0 21.9N 81.3W 1010 27
0000UTC 04.08.2024 12 24.2N 84.0W 1007 31
1200UTC 04.08.2024 24 26.2N 84.7W 1005 40
0000UTC 05.08.2024 36 27.8N 84.9W 1002 46
1200UTC 05.08.2024 48 29.1N 85.1W 1002 45
0000UTC 06.08.2024 60 30.3N 84.6W 1003 30
1200UTC 06.08.2024 72 32.0N 83.9W 1003 37
0000UTC 07.08.2024 84 32.6N 82.4W 997 38
1200UTC 07.08.2024 96 32.6N 80.2W 996 37
0000UTC 08.08.2024 108 33.0N 79.4W 995 40
1200UTC 08.08.2024 120 34.6N 78.8W 996 43
0000UTC 09.08.2024 132 35.8N 78.1W 998 36
1200UTC 09.08.2024 144 37.7N 76.2W 1000 44
0000UTC 10.08.2024 156 42.2N 72.2W 999 36
1200UTC 10.08.2024 168 47.2N 66.3W 996 35
Click to expand...
Surprising it cant do anything with such warm water west of FLA but if it keeps moving and never hits water then its just another rainy day in a long list of rainy days we are having.
 
Gotta blame Cuba on this one. They did not allow the US government to survey the storm over land. This led to poor model guidance and center fixes. They have a history of denying us air space.
 
System is still pretty messy and looking at the visible satellite it's quite possible it's elongated SSE to NNW. Given the lack of clouds moving from west to east across the eastern tip of Cuba that vigorous looking area towards key west seems like it's a meso within the larger gyre. That said it could take over but it's not exactly colocated with a ton of vigorous deep convection so I'm not sure
 
12Z Euro has just about as big a rainfall total for SAV-CHS as 0Z had (15”+) (slightly lower most of corridor but still with insane max ~22” centered on HHI/Beaufort). Also, again a cat 1 H hits CHS.
 
GaWx said:
12Z Euro has just about as big a rainfall total for SAV-CHS as 0Z had (15”+) (slightly lower most of corridor but still with insane max ~22” centered on HHI/Beaufort). Also, again a cat 1 H hits CHS.
Click to expand...
I’m debating on setting up a live stream at Daffin park at my second home. That area is gonna overspill into historic Savannah.
 
SD said:
System is still pretty messy and looking at the visible satellite it's quite possible it's elongated SSE to NNW. Given the lack of clouds moving from west to east across the eastern tip of Cuba that vigorous looking area towards key west seems like it's a meso within the larger gyre. That said it could take over but it's not exactly colocated with a ton of vigorous deep convection so I'm not sure
Click to expand...
That area just west of key west looking better defined this evening.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top