LickWx
Member
Because we are all a bunch of sadists who want to see him suffer ?
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Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)
- Thread starter Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
- Start date
If you knew Ji, you’d know. He’s the most hostile, toxic weenie to ever post on a weather forum. Unlike most weenies, he’s not even funny, he’s just mean.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Preliminary analysis map for this winter storm in NC. Saluda is the big winner so far w/ 0.3" of glaze, about 0.05-0.1" of ZR accum in the Triad with ~0.1-0.2" in the northern mountains.
The most helpless feeling ever is watching the mixing line on CC come north and knowing you can't stop it
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I agree 100% When the Wind is out of the NE, I always knew models would be too warm at 2m and usually a good recipe for wintry weather (if a other parameters behaved as well).
Heck! It'd be nice to be in the 24% chance range for a foot or more of snow.
blueheronNC
Member
Meanwhile some tornadic activity along the subtropical air wedge boundary (triple point low location?) where coastal temps are in the mid 60s
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Climbed all the way up to 32 about a hour ago. On the descent again, back down to 31 with some light freezing rain again.
Nomanslandva
Member
Dry slot is here. Temp on the hill holding at 30 with airport at 33/30. Holding out hope it stays cool and what swings through late afternoon has a chance to overcome the warm nose. NAM says it rain so ...
Scratching my head at this though:
This Afternoon
Snow and sleet. High near 32. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tonight
Snow and sleet, mainly before 2am. Low around 32. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Maybe point and click is busted.
Scratching my head at this though:
This Afternoon
Snow and sleet. High near 32. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tonight
Snow and sleet, mainly before 2am. Low around 32. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Maybe point and click is busted.
Turner Team
Member
This is what I get when I put my zip code into the Blacksburg site. Something isn't right there lol. If we switch back to snow I think at most we may get a coating.
Detailed Forecast
This Afternoon
Snow before 3pm, then snow and sleet. High near 32. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Tonight
Rain, snow, and sleet, mainly before 3am. Low around 32. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
FamouslyHot
Member
Solid rates of ~50 dbz in northern Delaware right on the edge of transition. Some of this is due to melting snow but even in total snow areas you can see rates of 45-50. Goes to show how it can help to be right on the edge.
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Nomanslandva
Member
That's more like mine too. I intentionally chose the city for the warmest option. I don't want to bash because hey have an incredibly hard job and miller B setups just totally suck. But it is weird that all we had was ZR and yet the S word is prominent in the forecast.
Turner Team
Member
Maybe they are using the HRRR to make their forecast even though its really busted bigtime so far. Just looked at the 19Z run and it has us switching to snow around 6 and ending up with about 2 in accumulation. I'll believe it when I see it lol. But yeah forecasting in this area is really difficult, especially with Miller B's. Usually in this type of set up we would have at least gotten a couple of inches before a changeover.
Looks like IAD went over to ZR at 2 PM, though. 32/ZR as of 3 PM, up from 31 at 2 PM. They could slip above freezing and get some plain old RN soon. Looks like IAD had about fourish hours of snow with maybe a couple tenths liquid equivalent, so I’m guessing they got 1-2”, which I think was a low end bust.
DCA, meanwhile, has gone over to straight up rain already as of 3 PM, 34/RN. 33/RN as of 3 PM for BWI, as well.
EDIT: Looks like Leesburg got about 3-4” of snow, IAD around 2”, according to reports.
Code:
...Loudoun County...
Hillsboro 3 NW 5.0 238 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Leesburg 2 NW 4.0 307 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Countryside 2 ESE 4.0 145 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Purcellville 3.5 215 PM 12/16 NWS Employee
Hughesville 1 ESE 3.5 230 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Leesburg 2 WSW 3.0 253 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Arcola 1 NNE 2.8 137 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Dulles International 2.1 130 PM 12/16 Airport
Arcola 2 SSE 2.0 140 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
Ashburn 3 WSW 2.0 115 PM 12/16 NWS Employee
Countryside 3 ESE 1.8 305 PM 12/16 Trained Spotter
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Dewpoint Dan
Member
Tornado Warning just west of Tampa
My buddy just posted a video from Hagerstown MD and it is pounding snow up there. Looks like Edward Scissorhands carving an ice sculpture. I’m sick
Once day I’ll get under a band like this here in the upstate 
Chicken feathers in Hagerstown. And I was squinting at rain droplets last night. I need a new hobby maybe.