A More amped first system is no beuno since it means stronger/further south 50/50 low
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)
- Thread starter Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Things that you hate to see: That ^
Knowing that global NWP models almost always underestimate CAD and we still have another 3-4 days for this to keep trending towards more intense/colder CAD, this trend is making me a bit nervous for folks in the central-eastern piedmont of NC & upstate SC.
So kinda like what the pre event before the big one on Feb 12th did, (which helped to amplify the cold air with snow pack just to the North) I wonder if we can get this first event Monday to overproduce, which will lay somewhat of a snow cover to our North, which may help deepen the cold air for the Carolinas. I specifically remember here in the Midlands, it trending colder at the last second 12 before the storm. We went from being in the worst forecasted area of ice to just North of it, which eventually led to catastrophic ice totals South of Columbia. I think maybe that first event could be a variable in what the mid week storm does. Just a thought.
Plus, if the NE gets snow cover, we can maximize the effects of a CAD.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
GFS HAS ONSET SNOW
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Poop
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
jeremy.ashley79
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1
- Reaction score
- 0
Anyway this translate to more of a snow event for central Piedmont of NC?
This one is gonna be lights out in NC
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Not at all. Could possibly translate to more of a sleet storm
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
These types of sharp cutoffs like the GFS always fringe over GSO.
iGRXY
Member
Figured that was gonna happen sooner or later
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The scary part is the GFS sucks with CAD.
I’ll pass thanks
Freezing rain for many areas for up to 12-15 hours.... that’ll do damage 
heres what That dec 2002 ice storm looked like if y’all aren’t familiar 
Yup....I live in the most vulnerable neighborhood in Charlotte. In 2002 it was devastated. I think a week without power.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
If I'm not mistaken didn't that storm start out with snow and ip?
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Here's the ERA5 analysis for the storm. That one started out with a lot of snow over NC.
ECMWF ERA5 (Reanalysis) | 12/04/2002, 03:00pm | USA
Historical weather maps from 12/04/2002, 03:00pm, USA - Significant Weather | ECMWF ERA5 (Reanalysis)
weather.us
