Pattern Freezing Ferocious February

[GeorgiaGirl]

Not going to be a pretty GFS run because of this ugly cutoff low...

 

[DixieBlizzard]

Not going to be a pretty GFS run because of this ugly cutoff low...

I LOVE cutoff lows this time of year but not that far north.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Not going to be a pretty GFS run because of this ugly cutoff low...

It phases and doesn't go way north. Actually didn't see any extreme warmth this run so far at 312.

 

[GaWx]

12Z GFS: mainly warmer than normal SE US 6-15 day period

 

[Metwannabe]

Well GFS still shows the PV split, who knows what it will eventually mean....

 

[Metwannabe]

Fwiw from Judah, seems the trend as of now though, why I'm still punting til mid Feb and hoping for a late winter come back for one last hurrah....

 

[Tarheel1]

Isn't cold in Eurasia bad? That gives us warm in the East right?

 

[GaWx]

Isn't cold in Eurasia bad? That gives us warm in the East right?

It isn't nearly that black and white, especially with you generalizing about "Eurasia", which is what, 10K miles long?

 

[Tarheel1]

It isn't nearly that black and white, especially with you generalizing about "Eurasia", which is what, 10K miles long?

Just using the terms Judah was using

 

[Tarheel1]

It isn't nearly that black and white, especially with you generalizing about "Eurasia", which is what, 10K miles long?

And just used to waiting on the unicorn SSW events to happen , and when they do in the last few years, cold dumps into Europe and Asia, we torch, 2013 style!

 

[Kylo]

GEFS comes in with a stronger -EPO day 7 and 8 and nice bump up on the mean snowfall for an overrunning event day 8 or so. Maybe half the members with snow in the southeast.

 

[Kylo]

And just used to waiting on the unicorn SSW events to happen , and when they do in the last few years, cold dumps into Europe and Asia, we torch, 2013 style!

Was reading his tweet too. It seems like he writes on his blogs about how the stratosphere disruptions help drive colder weather for the United States and then this tweet seems like, no, it really drives cold into EurAsia. He knows what he is talking about and I just misinterpreted.

 

[Kylo]

-EPO goes a long way on the GEFS this run. 6-10 solid cold in the 6-10. See why the mean snowfall is so far south.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Day 9 early in the morning...

However I've been burned so much by the GEFS in the last two years. It's always given me some fantasy to look at.

 

[Kylo]

Hopefully this has legs from the GEFS. Nice trend inside day 8.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

The 12z GFS was warm but not ridiculous, I'm fine with it.

 

[GaStorm]

-EPO goes a long way on the GEFS this run. 6-10 solid cold in the 6-10. See why the mean snowfall is so far south.

View attachment 3711

Wow Mexico's historic winter continues if that look is right. Crazy.

Edit: Southern TX also has scored this winter. Someone I know down in the San Antonio area saw snow for the first time in several years. Maybe he will again? Lol.

 

[dsaur]

The 12z GFS was warm but not ridiculous, I'm fine with it.

Too much hit and run lately. I need to see a big high come down from up there in cold land, and hit us squarely on the chin, lol, don't need it just rubbing up against me

 

[dsaur]

Buckeye Chuck also says 6 more weeks of winter. Its unanimous folks.

Fat rats predicting the weather is about as helpful at Goofy out at day 14, lol. My moles do a much better job, when they aren't drunk, trippin', or travelling with the Molettes on some shopping spree.

 

[Tarheel1]

Hopefully this has legs from the GEFS. Nice trend inside day 8.View attachment 3713

T that's a good look, would be nice for Euro and EPS to start looking like this!