L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Well in any normal winter If texas and oklahoma score normally the southeast scores. Hasn't happened much this year lol
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Meanwhile the v16 said let’s repeat a similar synoptic scale pattern that produced charlotte’s tornado outbreak on February 6th 2020, lol, that would be super ironic *wink*
I was in class that day and had a tornado pass within 5 miles of my school who had a no cellphone policy that was not fun.
GEFS looks better cold wise, snow mean was eh vs last run, honestly I’d favor west of the Apps with that look 
ATLwxfan
Member
A few steps back after a promising 12z suite of runs. Oh well, maybe tomorrow?
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NorthGaWinter4
Member
Eh could’ve been worse
So close to overrunning with this look, might do it/might not 
More ridging around AK/north of AK = even more cold being dumped 
First system 
But how bout dat ?
But how bout dat ?
Black hole for US standards 
BufordWX
Member
? 
This could get interesting 
BufordWX
Member
Dang, not a bad look at this range.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
That’s fine. I have none after living here this long without any good snowIt will cost you your soul
You know you got a legit arctic airmass when you see stuff this far south ? 
Brent
Member
Flake watch
Yes 
I don't know how that doesn't get shoved to Cuba. Or it might wait around until the cold air leaves and then we rain, lol.
Brent
Member
That day 9 storm went poof here lol
BufordWX
Member
The cold air certainly has some staying power!
Dunno but I’m a fan of the cold being here first, HP ftw
This cold blast reminds me of January 2019, but way more blocking this time, what could possibly go wrong, we at least onset ice in 2019 with that airmass 
January 2019 was an absolute tire fire for snow for most in the south east of the Apps.
Hello
Wow! Didn't expected that. Just a 20-40 mile SE Shift or a small cooling trend and the Augusta-Columbia area could get a significant snowstorm according to the GFS.
Nice increase on the GEFS too.
Ok ok 
Clem282340
Member
Just a little shift nw and this will be i85 special
whatalife
Moderator
The February 6th-9th is looking really interesting. Fun times ahead!
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The 6z GFS would be great for a few but suck for many. Lets do hope we can get it a little more south (for you Columbia folks) with a more expansive precip field (for everybody else).
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Wow what a change. This one might be sneaking up on all of us.
We're almost inside day 5 too which makes this all the more intriguing.
Run to run changes like this make me happy.
whatalife
Moderator
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Oh yeah 2-3 closed contour buzzsaw ridge over greenland mmmm
Not far from a December 2017 like setup with more cold air to boot. Yeehaw.
Attachments
Here's RAH. I believe they had a peek at the 6z GFS:
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 459 AM Monday...
High pressure builds in from the the west Wednesday and will support
dry conditions through Thursday. Confidence then decreases for
Friday and into the weekend, as significant model differences with
the evolution of a cold front through and subsequent secondary
surface cyclogenesis as the front stalls off the SE coast. The ECMWF
shows conditions briefly drying out Saturday before returning
moisture to the area again Saturday night into Sunday. The GFS is
slightly slower with the lead front, but shows more in the way of an
ana-frontal precip band late Friday through Saturday night.
Temperatures and p-types will have to be watched closely as CAD
development is likely across the NC Piedmont, particularly towards
the end of the precip event. For now, will advertise rain chances
for all of central NC with another widespread soaking expected
Friday into the weekend. Temperatures Friday and Saturday are in the
50s but will likely have to trend cooler as there is more model
agreement.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 459 AM Monday...
High pressure builds in from the the west Wednesday and will support
dry conditions through Thursday. Confidence then decreases for
Friday and into the weekend, as significant model differences with
the evolution of a cold front through and subsequent secondary
surface cyclogenesis as the front stalls off the SE coast. The ECMWF
shows conditions briefly drying out Saturday before returning
moisture to the area again Saturday night into Sunday. The GFS is
slightly slower with the lead front, but shows more in the way of an
ana-frontal precip band late Friday through Saturday night.
Temperatures and p-types will have to be watched closely as CAD
development is likely across the NC Piedmont, particularly towards
the end of the precip event. For now, will advertise rain chances
for all of central NC with another widespread soaking expected
Friday into the weekend. Temperatures Friday and Saturday are in the
50s but will likely have to trend cooler as there is more model
agreement.
&&
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lower the heights over the Great Lakes, SE Ontario, and Southern Quebec & good things start to happen
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah December 2017 except further east would be ?