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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

These GFS runs show you what could have happened in NC this past week had the big vortex in southern Canada sliced thru the heart of the Great Lakes & northern New England instead of staying over central Ontario & Quebec. We got til the first week of March to make something happen

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1613666068491.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
cold rain ?View attachment 76158
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Little bit less confluence over the Lakes + New England & bam storm shoots north. We almost need the vortex to partially phase w/ one of these waves and suppress the living crap out of it, we're at that time of the winter where we need as much suppression as possible because the basic state temps and moisture are high & background flow is slower, allowing waves to more easily amplify, break, and cut-off.

1613666211800.png
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
When’s the last time an event started out like this and gave you snow? 1847? 1901? Never?View attachment 76156
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Mar 2-3 1980.....?

Not really the same setup, not nearly as cold during the event etc....but Mar 1980 was in the 60's right up till the day before the storm and in the upper 40's the morning before we got crushed overnight...
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Oh my gosh for fuckks sake View attachment 76146
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18.7” bullseye over MBY. Hell yeah I’m in. But I live in hell and we don’t get wintry precip here anymore, so it’s over.

In all seriousness this is a time period I’ve noticed a few fantasy storms in, so who knows. Maybe we’ve got a single digit percentage chance of pulling a cat out of the bag with this one.
 
There are certainly a few winters that immediately come to mind that managed to pull a last second miracle storm right at the end of Feb into early March out of the hat after being mediocre-crap for the entire winter. We all know about 1959-60, but this is another oldie that found a way and you can obviously tell by comparing the individual storm map to the seasonal totals how much of the overall snowfall came from just this one storm. Kind of a weird snowfall distribution too, followed US HWY 64 and the heaviest totals stayed just south of GSO and cut thru Chatham, Randolph, & southern Wake counties.

February 27-28 1937 NC Snowmap.png

Winter of 1936-37 NC Snowmap.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
There are certainly a few winters that immediately come to mind that managed to pull a last second miracle storm right at the end of Feb into early March out of the hat after being mediocre-crap for the entire winter. We all know about 1959-60, but this is another oldie that found a way and you can obviously tell by comparing the individual storm map to the seasonal totals how much of the overall snowfall came from just this one storm. Kind of a weird snowfall distribution too, followed US HWY 64 and the heaviest totals stayed just south of GSO and cut thru Chatham, Randolph, & southern Wake counties.

View attachment 76187

View attachment 76189
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Personally partial to this one...

february_23-24_1989_nc_snowmap.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
Lol Greenville & Tarboro were on a literal snow island
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I think it has more to do with ------ data reporting....that storm was a monster.....

www.dailypress.com

BLIZZARD OF ’89 BLASTS REGION

Winds gusting as high as 54 mph Friday powered the first blizzard in nine years into the area, capping the snowiest month in Hampton Roads history. The blizzard closed all area schools and many bus…
www.dailypress.com www.dailypress.com

Even harder hit than Tidewater was Gates County, N.C., which received more than 20 inches, said Robert Mazaitis, a weather observer from the Menchville area of Newport News. He recorded 11 inches of snow there.
 
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