Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[NWMSGuy]

Member 9 of the GEFS looks like a nasty ice storm. modernweenie

 

[Brick Tamland]

It wasn't even done!! modernweenie
View attachment 70593

Too bad it's 10 days out. Hard to believe anything outside 5 days. But maybe this has a legit shot since this timeframe has been showing up on the models off and on lately.

 

[Stormlover]

Actually overall quite similar to the operational.
View attachment 70632

not even close

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Delayed but not denied

 

[Webberweather53]

It wasn't even done!! modernweenie
View attachment 70593

First thing I see when I open this thread back up is the GFS trying to drop 20" over mi casa w/ several days in a row of snow... alrighty then lol. Gimme Feb 1973 except further N ?

 

[Broken024]

not even close View attachment 70634

The overall look looks similar if you look at the individuals...

 

[Ollie Williams]

Nice look. It's 10-11 days out, so don't expect to see 5-inch means.

 

[LickWx]

I win

I sorta lost , I was pretty certain the cold was coming . Though I won as well because I had some skepticism while everyone else shut down the notion of things not getting cold lol. @Myfrotho704_ got burned !

Edit : burn fro ! Time to pack up for Kansas

 

[Nomanslandva]

The arguing about soil temps/rates will be epic!

It's Feb so don't forget about sun angle too

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Good look but dang back to day 8-10

 

[Shawn]

the canadian and gefs isn't close to what the op gfs is. maybe for nc or something. it's a 1973 rival for the deep south on the OP vs sleet to rain on the ensemble/cmc.

 

[Snownut]

Good look but dang back to day 8-10 View attachment 70643

That's the prime time in this pattern for something to happen.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

The great board wide storm may be delayed ... but the storm for NC at least looks to be possible for our Sunday system .. KEEP AN EYE

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The great board wide storm may be delayed ... but the storm for NC at least looks to be possible for our Sunday system .. KEEP AN EYE

Shocked it isn’t in VA yet, give it tomorrow

 

[Stormlover]

It's Feb so don't forget about sun angle too

and the dew point ;-)

 

[Webberweather53]

12z GFS was almost verbatim the historic SE US overrunning event composite I shared on here yesterday

 

[Deleted member 1449]

Six day total snowfall accumulation from the 12Z UKMET.

 

[Webberweather53]

Six day total snowfall accumulation from the 12Z UKMET.

Time to lay down the white carpet.

 

[superjames1992]

Well dang hadn't really noticed how close the system Sunday is....

View attachment 70595

Yeah, if we get more precip and it doesn’t jump too far NW to VA, that looks like a slop storm to me, kind of like the last one.

 

[deltadog03]

Gfs is fairly close to the 0z Euro tbh

That is very true and I will take that look ALL DAY vs -10 F and dry as a bone...