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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

I don’t see anything on the models to be excited about in the Carolinas. No chance of winter weather the rest of February


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This Line of thunderstorms Thursday evening could be severe. I could see needing a thread for this. The Gfs has continuously been dialed in on this line of storms. Any thoughts on this bad boy?


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12Z EPS says SER/AN temps are likely to be in control in the SE typical of La Nina late month/early March:

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We've been very fortunate this winter with the SER weak most of the time. It has overall been quite a bit colder than I expected with pretty near normal, the first real winter since 2017-8.
 
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12Z EPS says SER/AN temps are likely to be in control in the SE typical of La Nina late month/early March:

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The SE ridge from what I heard is the new normal, regardless if it's a LA Nina, neutral or even El Nino .Like I said in the whamby thread, this could very well be the new normal for the eastern SE. Correct me if I'm wrong, but do you see the 2020s being a worse decade for the eastern SE cold/winter weather wise than the 1990s.
 
="Faco Thomas, post: 407969, member: 767"]
The SE ridge is the new normal, regardless if it's a LA Nina, neutral or even El Nino.Like I said in the whamby thread, this could very well be the new normal. Correct me if I'm wrong, but do you see the 2020s will be a worse decade for the eastern SE cold/winter weather wise than the 1990s.

Actually, the SE has been very fortunate this winter with the SER weak most of the time til now. It has overall been quite a bit colder than I expected with pretty near normal, the first real winter since 2017-8. But unfortunately that may turn out to be a one winter break.

Looking ahead, until the Maritime Continent (MC) cools off significantly, it appears to me that the SER will likely be back in control. Regarding the 2020s as a whole vs the 1990s in absolute terms, the 2020s have a big advantage of a good bit warmer globe. So, my guess would be warmer. But that's just a wild guess and is subject to change due to who knows what, including a cooler MC due to a successful dry ice drop.

Speaking of the dry ice drop, have you signed up for the free MC dry ice cruise yet? You know, the cruise when numerous wx weenies are supposed to drop megatons of dry ice overboard to cool off the MC so as to weaken the SER?
 
Been stuck in low 30s here for 3 1/2 days with ice ,mostly rain. Pouring outside at 35 still

A true winter for the SE. I've been fully wedged in with overcast and 40s way down here the entire weekend! It isn't too often that that occurs here. Other than the rain keeping me from walking outside, I'm loving it! I'm for below normal temps any day of the year. The flowers, which started to bloom in early Feb the last two winters, are nowhere near blooming now. That should wait til March thankfully. And I've seen no sign of the first bug. By now the last two winters, the bugs were already partying. It was sad.
 
Actually, the SE has been very fortunate this winter with the SER weak most of the time til now. It has overall been quite a bit colder than I expected with pretty near normal, the first real winter since 2017-8. But unfortunately that may turn out to be a one winter break.

Looking ahead, until the Maritime Continent (MC) cools off significantly, it appears to me that the SER will likely be back in control. Regarding the 2020s as a whole vs the 1990s in absolute terms, the 2020s have a big advantage of a good bit warmer globe. So, my guess would be warmer. But that's just a wild guess and is subject to change due to who knows what, including a cooler MC due to a successful dry ice drop.

Speaking of the dry ice drop, have you signed up for the free MC dry ice cruise yet? You know, the cruise when numerous wx weenies are supposed to drop megatons of dry ice overboard to cool off the MC so as to weaken the SER?

Could be possible we're just in a really bad phase of the global atmospheric circulatory pattern....a phase that maybe lasts for several decades. Still, I definitely believe this decade will feature at least one blockbuster snowstorm for someone in the SE.
 
Could be possible we're just in a really bad phase of the global atmospheric circulatory pattern....a phase that maybe lasts for several decades. Still, I definitely believe this decade will feature at least one blockbuster snowstorm for someone in the SE.


Parts of the SE is already getting a winter storm. Unless you meant the Carolinas, GA and central/eastern AL, which in that case it's possible that one or two major winter storms might possible in the 2020s. I just hope that if the blockbuster winter storm does happen for our part of the SE this decade ,the Midlands of SC is on the right side of it.
 
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