Please grace us with that ice map good sir. From my maps, I see up to 2 inches of liquid in some places. 850's kinda suck for the deep south but maybe sleet?
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Please grace us with that ice map good sir. From my maps, I see up to 2 inches of liquid in some places. 850's kinda suck for the deep south but maybe sleet?
OofPlease grace us with that ice map good sir. From my maps, I see up to 2 inches of liquid in some places. 850's kinda suck for the deep south but maybe sleet?
Lights out board wide.
My goodness, what's it gonna take to get snow into the Atlanta area. Here we have a frigid banana high to the north and a deep into the GOM low headed off of SC and it's ZR on the NW flank? No way huh?
Do you think the 850 will still trend colder as we get closer?
Previous page. Not too pretty, look with caution.
For those with the data and looking at it closer, what do we need to get 850 temps to cool down if that run were to verify.
bingcrosbyb
Member
LFG ! 
Yeah this is way better 
Jrips2710
Member
Verbatim Atlanta gets 12-15 hours of ZR with temps between 26-28 degrees
That TPV placement is almost at where we want it 
??
Jrips2710
Member
Best EPS run yet, CAE with a 1.6 mean and it’s still not done ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Oh wow lol. Deep, cold CADs is one of the more typical ways historically to get 10-12” in Charlotte lol
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Insane lol if we can get the sfc high in a better spot you’re looking at Feb 2014 just a lot colder lol
Just change our name to iceland
Still going 
And oh yeah the EPS is showing more overrunning
And oh yeah the EPS is showing more overrunning
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Winter storm printer go brrr
Oh my 
This is a legendary EPS run, this deserves to go into the weenie H.O.F 
Nobody draws em up better then nature
Is the major of this ice or snow or both?
Snowflowxxl
Member
Shiiiiiiiiiiid that Eps run is avatar worthy
Wow I cannot believe we get like 4 years of nothing burgers and getting screwed over .. all for KING KONG .. but as the models seem to be showing with their ensembles ..... this storm will be someone’s one in a lifetime
Also .. cmon guys can we make a thread for this thing I mean it’s kind of ridiculous that we haven’t THATS all this discussion has been about anyway.. the storm signal is CLEAR the eps has an 100% chance of snow greater than or equaling 1 inch in some southern locations ... this needs a thread
iGRXY
Member
This is the type of storm our grandparents and parents used to go through. Long duration events that end up measuring snow closer towards the foot than inches. Let the TPV trend just a little further south and east with some more ridging out west which is almost a tandem thing and it’s a wrap
stephend122080
Member
06z GFS is a dumpster fire with the TPV over Northern Minnesota
Sent from my SM-A115U1 using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-A115U1 using Tapatalk
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Gfs has been so inconsistent run to run
the lack of consistency from the models in one general direction is terrible, pieces of computer ---- 
Downeastnc
Member
Euro Ens still have a lot of big snow hits....including this one....lets hope this is more correct than the ice storm operational runs.....
Take that and call it a winter.
GaSnowhound
Member
Notice how even Augusta is in the game but that wierd no precip EePee shaped intrusion screws the Atl/east metro?
GaSnowhound
Member
This would be abt as good as most could hope in Bama, Ga, SC and prty darn good in NC
GaSnowhound
Member
Shades of Jan 2011 maybe?
GaSnowhound
Member
Macon, GA (well basically Columbus to August would likely have decent odds w this verbatim it appears!! S metro, Macon and CSRA are def due
Per James Spann from bham
RADAR CHECK: Rain continues this morning ahead of a cold front south of a line from Thomasville to Montgomery to Lafayette. The front will continue to drift southward this morning, and the best chance of showers today will be confined to the southern quarter of the state. North/Central Alabama will be dry with a partially sunny sky… the high will be in the low 50s for most communities.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A wave of low pressure along the front will bring a cold rain to much of the state tomorrow. For the northern and central counties, most of the rain comes tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night with temperatures only in the 30s and 40s. The combination of evaporative and dynamic cooling could very well lead to some snow for parts of the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, especially the northeast corner of the state. For now it looks like temperatures will be just above freezing, in the mid 30s, so while some grassy areas could become white, travel impact is not expected. But, it is a close call and watch for updates if you live in counties like Madison, Jackson, Marshall, DeKalb, and Cherokee.
Rain amounts of 1/2 inch or less and forecast, and the rain ends late tomorrow night. Sunday will be dry… the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the low 50s.
NEXT WEEK: High temperatures will rise into the low to mid 60s during the first half of the week. Monday will be dry, but a little scattered light rain is possible Tuesday and Wednesday as moisture levels begin to rise again. Rain becomes more likely Thursday as a shallow layer of much colder air moves into the state from the north.
ICE PROBLEMS? Precipitation will likely continue Thursday night into Friday, and there is a very real possibility that freezing rain becomes an issue for parts of the Deep South. That is rain in liquid form that falls with surface temperatures at or below freezing, and can lead to a coating of ice on exposed surfaces. All of the ingredients are on the table for this kind of event, but there is no way of knowing location of the highest impact, and it is simply too early for a specific forecast. It is beyond the science.
For any given location in Alabama, Friday’s weather range of possibilities goes from cold and dry, to a cold rain, or to a high impact winter weather event. Don’t focus too much on the deterministic model runs, they will flip and flop a good bit over the weekend. Output from the global model ensembles have been pretty consistent in forecast potential for freezing rain. Some decent skill will begin in forecasting the event on Monday; we will keep you updated right here.
One way or another, our weather looks very cold late next week and into the following weekend… easily the coldest air so far this winter.
ON THIS DATE IN 1887: San Francisco experienced its most significant snowstorm of record. Nearly four inches was reported in downtown San Francisco, and the western hills of the city received seven inches. Excited crowds went on a snowball throwing rampage.
ON THIS DATE IN 1986: A supercell thunderstorm tracked through the Tomball area northwest of Houston, TX, and produced four tornadoes along with damaging microburst winds and up to tennis ball size hail. An F3 tornado killed two people, injured 80 others, and devastated a mobile home park and the David Wayne Hooks Airport.
BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute show anytime on your favorite podcast app. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Facebook
Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
RADAR CHECK: Rain continues this morning ahead of a cold front south of a line from Thomasville to Montgomery to Lafayette. The front will continue to drift southward this morning, and the best chance of showers today will be confined to the southern quarter of the state. North/Central Alabama will be dry with a partially sunny sky… the high will be in the low 50s for most communities.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A wave of low pressure along the front will bring a cold rain to much of the state tomorrow. For the northern and central counties, most of the rain comes tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night with temperatures only in the 30s and 40s. The combination of evaporative and dynamic cooling could very well lead to some snow for parts of the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, especially the northeast corner of the state. For now it looks like temperatures will be just above freezing, in the mid 30s, so while some grassy areas could become white, travel impact is not expected. But, it is a close call and watch for updates if you live in counties like Madison, Jackson, Marshall, DeKalb, and Cherokee.
Rain amounts of 1/2 inch or less and forecast, and the rain ends late tomorrow night. Sunday will be dry… the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the low 50s.
NEXT WEEK: High temperatures will rise into the low to mid 60s during the first half of the week. Monday will be dry, but a little scattered light rain is possible Tuesday and Wednesday as moisture levels begin to rise again. Rain becomes more likely Thursday as a shallow layer of much colder air moves into the state from the north.
ICE PROBLEMS? Precipitation will likely continue Thursday night into Friday, and there is a very real possibility that freezing rain becomes an issue for parts of the Deep South. That is rain in liquid form that falls with surface temperatures at or below freezing, and can lead to a coating of ice on exposed surfaces. All of the ingredients are on the table for this kind of event, but there is no way of knowing location of the highest impact, and it is simply too early for a specific forecast. It is beyond the science.
For any given location in Alabama, Friday’s weather range of possibilities goes from cold and dry, to a cold rain, or to a high impact winter weather event. Don’t focus too much on the deterministic model runs, they will flip and flop a good bit over the weekend. Output from the global model ensembles have been pretty consistent in forecast potential for freezing rain. Some decent skill will begin in forecasting the event on Monday; we will keep you updated right here.
One way or another, our weather looks very cold late next week and into the following weekend… easily the coldest air so far this winter.
ON THIS DATE IN 1887: San Francisco experienced its most significant snowstorm of record. Nearly four inches was reported in downtown San Francisco, and the western hills of the city received seven inches. Excited crowds went on a snowball throwing rampage.
ON THIS DATE IN 1986: A supercell thunderstorm tracked through the Tomball area northwest of Houston, TX, and produced four tornadoes along with damaging microburst winds and up to tennis ball size hail. An F3 tornado killed two people, injured 80 others, and devastated a mobile home park and the David Wayne Hooks Airport.
BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute show anytime on your favorite podcast app. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!