new vs 12z run...heights lower over the lakes.
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I’m glad I didn’t go to sleep from the NyQuil ?
MUCH better push of low level cold this run so far vs 12z run!!!
NEW run vs 12z run
NEW run vs 12z run
Weenie run incoming ? 
Jrips2710
Member
I mean things can still go wrong but wow that’s a good look. Come on baby
Gettin there ??
TPV approaching the GL now on new run vs 12z run
That piece in the middle of the Pacific scares me. It screwed up the CMC run.
Edit: it more than likely will screw up the Euro.
Edit: it more than likely will screw up the Euro.
Precip breaking out.
Only thing that needs to get outa here is that Piece of energy in the pacific, CMC has the same thing 
Phasing in with the Alaska TPV piece would work.
By 12z THRU we *me here in mid GA* are 20 degrees colder at 2m vs 12z run
There's less precipation breaking out this run vs 18z.
That’s only because the s/w is so far south. It won’t go as far north with the secondary wave in the pacific preventing the +PNA. Still amped though.
EURO trying to dump that now ULL over old mexico...don't buy that yet....
Can we time it right ? That energy entering the pacific will be close to ruining it 
Could this be a bias of holding it too long?
Give me this look anyday, this is as good if not better, then being jackpotted 
Agreed!!! Very good run, IMHO
Look at this GFS sounding over Central NC on the Valentines weekend storm. Let me tell you right now, if it’s 17 degrees outside and sleeting, I might just quit weather altogether... forever. LOL.
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Wait a minute that wave is ejecting 
and woah ???
and woah ???
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We don’t even need the wave to eject to give us snow and ice. The wave physically being there in the desert SW triggers mid level warm advection in the SE US and vorticity gets sheared off to the east. That is usually more than good enough to give us overrunning.
bingcrosbyb
Member
Euro was really close to something special. Energy out west screwed it up. Plus euro held back shortwave. 
I was wondering what all the concern was with than southern maximum. Should be a GOM low about to form in the next frame or two I would expect.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I don’t mind that individual wave being there, it speeds up the flow a little bit in the NE Pacific which kicks our big vortex east more
1050 HP CAD setup incoming ? 
?'s rattled
This is gonna be an interesting next couple of frames
bingcrosbyb
Member
This is finally getting close into the medium range, hour 174 
bingcrosbyb
Member
I would think so... especially at this time range
Thats a keeper
bingcrosbyb
Member
Riding the coast at 240 
What a battle
Didn’t your area get a lot of sleet with temperatures in the upper 10s in January 1996? I did in Concord with temperatures right around 20Look at this GFS sounding over Central NC on the Valentines weekend storm. Let me tell you right now, if it’s 17 degrees outside and sleeting, I might just quit weather altogether... forever. LOL.
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All I ask is to keep it there for 80 more hours lol 
I would say that was a great run synoptically for sure. EPS will be telling