I like the trend on the GEFS. lower heights off of the coast lead to a stronger +PNA, therefore a lesser SER.I’m a huge fan of this look ??all you basically need is a wave to slide under that View attachment 70304View attachment 70303
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Exactly, I don’t get the complaining/worrying lol, sure the cold isn’t looking as impressive, but that pattern right there is still in general, really impressive lol, still got CP flow, it’s just not directed over the SE exactly
I agree. Honestly the look we were seeing with single digit lows and highs in the low 20s screams everything getting to suppressed and not being able to get moisture involved.
Shaggy
Member
I dont need bitter cold I just need cold enough. This pattern is manageable and has plenty of potential.
Avalanche
Member
Plus, if we get a snow, those cold lovers might get their single digit lows.
Avalanche
Member
Sorry, can't stare at this long enough. Got cottonmouth from all the saliva that left me.
What a epic fail of pattern we’re looking at now, so bad I know
Not
Not
It's tough to imagine a better pattern. ?
Stormsfury
Member
Typically when something happens (storm) it’s when the -NAO retrogrades, the weekend system honestly just doesn’t get me, we typically see something when our -NAO retrogrades/decays like this... this look is starting to translate into the medium range ??
Trending goodbye to the Alaska Low...
We're heading to the climatologically most favored time of the year for the Deep South/Southeast...
Expect more crazy swings... But I think we'll see something pop up pretty quickly in the next couple days
This. We could have a much worse look, and I am still excited for the South through at least 2/3 of February at this point. Relying on each operational run of guidance will have people pulling their hair out. I am convinced a lot of members here may have some form of anxiety and ptsd from previous models over the years, lol.
Downeastnc
Member
This is also a pattern that keeps on giving.....some areas in the SE will cash in next week and then there will probably be another window 10 days or so later....
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Honestly the 50-50 low is a little too far north this weekend. Folks on the I-20 corridor as well as those in CLT & FAY like you and me want to see this big lakes vortex next week translate due E to ESE, with the center of the strongest negative height anomalies south of Atlantic Canada. That would lend enough suppression to keep this from hauling way north of I 40I’m a huge fan of this look ??
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Pretty sure we are in the latter part of the most climatologically favored time of year. Mid Jan to Mid Feb is usually the best time so we've got about 10 more days or so.
NCSNOW
Member
The NCSnow 12z Model of Choice for Sunday Is the Canadian. Regular GFS is close, but no cigar. Need moisture IMBY.
is @Robert West about to see snow in the armpit of hell ?! 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This is about where we want the 50-50 low for an overrunning event esp for folks south of I-40, the center of the negative height anomalies south of New England & Atlantic Canada w/ an attendant trough axis over the southern plains or so.
That's me, the red dot, my body is ready for the Mcflurries.
Snow/graupel shower here in Greenville 
Just alerted some of my friends in Sandhills and Old Shandon that flurries were incoming.