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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

Good ole CMC and it's 1060+ highs
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_27.png
 
ATLwxfan said:
Not heat island but some bizarro ridge that is not based in reality. It’ll thankfully be gone at 6am.


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This. It would never actually happen that way. It basically has the cold air stop making its way east because the low then develops off the gulf shifting the winds from the northeast, thus the low level cold intrusion all the way down to Beaufort, SC.
 
This isn't all from the "big" storm that's being tracked, but it makes me feel sick to think of the ptype with some of these numbers. hopefully those heavier areas are 30F or higher and can manage sleet in the colder cases.

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Edit: its not done. I'll post further frames when done.
 
Here’s the more ideal benchmark for the SE, you want a TPV over the lakes instead of Canada, this increases the cold press at the surface/aloft and counteracts more extreme WAA which leads to more icing/rain (the scenarios were seeing now), it would also help if the TPV moved south a little bit in tandem with with S/W
Next up you want a solid western ridge so you can get your S/W trough to dig and not become a sheared shitshow, with the strength of the TPV, if it does trend south, our S/W could get sheared, It’s a outside possibility, but yep, western ridge for digging and that boots the TPV east anyways
And last but not least you want a little bit of southeast ridging, not a crazy amount.
, but enough to give you WAA aloft that produces precipitation, would be nice if we could have a TPV location like that map but a decently amped up suppressed SER for big amounts of moisture C458B414-8363-4859-865F-D2B4437674CC.jpeg
 
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