Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

that cold lakes vortex just sitting pretty there, hopefully we can pop some energy under that thing somehow

 

[Jessy89]

The lack there of a cold snap Monday could doom our midweek storm. Obviously we could see a reverse but this set of models isn’t pretty.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Lol what a huge difference

 

[SASQUATCH]

Trouble how?

Colder than a witches tata in a brass bra.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is still a good look for that time period, as the last several runs has showed ??‍

 

[CaryWx]

If that truly happens that spells trouble in the SE IMO

Are you referring to suppression for snow chances? Otherwise that's balls cold in the SE.

 

[Tarheel1]

13mb drop in 12 hours on this GFS run! This low is bombing out and looking snowier each run for here! I new I loved analfrontal precip! It does work!

 

[SASQUATCH]

This is still a good look for that time period, as the last several runs has showed ??‍View attachment 70286View attachment 70287

With that look, you would have to think slider and not cutter I would think.

 

[packfan98]

Nice looking storm on the GFS. looks to be a RDU to eastern NC special.

 

[Chazwin]

Theres probably a reason you never hear the Icon mentioned in a area forescast discussion...

I’m glad I’m not the only one that noticed that. Being where I’m at in Union County, I’m right where 3 different CWFAs (GSP, Raleigh, Columbia) so I usually will read all 3 discussions... not once have I ever seen the ICON referenced.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[BullCityWx]

Nice little event on the 12z GFS for next Tuesday/Wednesday depending on where you are.

 

[CyclonicFury]

Snow in the mid-20s at 18z...this would be amazing

 

[Chandler]

View attachment 70292

Dang you could already feel the warm nose from that one

 

[SASQUATCH]

Signal still there for Feb 10 plus. Goal posts will move almost every run. Just stay on the field and keep playing.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

As much as I would like an overrunning setup, getting the Baja low to be stuck probably won't be the worst thing in the world. As we get the monster TPV piece to retrograde towards SE Canada, we can get a synoptic look very similar to March 1927 (For real this time). The low just adds to precip if the Euro is anything to go by.
View attachment 69843View attachment 69844View attachment 69845

 

[Stormdoc]

that cold lakes vortex just sitting pretty there, hopefully we can pop some energy under that thing somehowView attachment 70282

That is the difference here with prior runs. TPV gets further east and can hold confluence and ridging at bay for the next wave, ergo boom. This can trend even better for more on the board.

 

[CaryWx]

Snow in the mid-20s at 18z...this would be amazing
View attachment 70293
View attachment 70294

Best look I've seen in mby for models next week. Can enjoy until at least the 18z right?

 

[Shaggy]

View attachment 70292

This is why I hate watching every cycle because we will get great runs and bad runs and everything inbetween. The overall pattern is what is important.

 

[Chazwin]

The lack there of a cold snap Monday could doom our midweek storm. Obviously we could see a reverse but this set of models isn’t pretty.


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The cold is still there on Monday, it’s just not the ridiculous cold with widespread single digit lows like it’s shown some, and is still seen in the ensembles. Also, I still wouldn’t write off the Sunday system yet.