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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

The GFS really wasn't all that different. The TPV piece over Alaska that I've been stressing about didn't get out fast enough to pump an ideal +PNA. The phase ended up looking awkward with not enough cold injected into it. Other than that, the run was nearly an exact replica of 18z.gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-3206800.png
gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-3206800.png
 
Massive nor’easter as it exits up the eastern seaboard.. Metro cities up the coast get smoked.
 
ok, so this run...the best thing is we still have a storm signal. I think the thermals would be better than what this run shows..but it doesn't matter right now. Faster storm means a bit warmer, slower (like other runs) we have more of a board wide hit. Either way...great look...lets see what doc NO says tonight.
Most important the track is perfect for all of us, again. Theres 2 ways to correct the timing. Speed up cold or go back to 18z and slow down storm. Biggest thing is storm and track are still there along with 1060 HP lol.
 
Not about the storm but FWIW the gfs is absolutely frigid starting late next week and on
 
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Close on the new gfs but suppressed


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I hate to be a debby downer but no other model is showing anything like this and it is the gfs. Maybe it will be right for once
Both the GEFS and the EPS have consistently had a storm signal for that timeframe for a few days now. Also the Euro has had a system now for the last couple of days as well... it’s been a bit more suppressed the last couple runs but it’s still there
 
16V Brings the main low inland over the coastal plain of NC and stays inland all the way up the coast. Gives most of NC all the way up to the NE rain.
 
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