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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
The hell with the shift. I like it there. Hahah
Oh man, just what we wanted to see. LFG!
NCSNOW
Member
3k not as impressed but it's close, NAM was late to the party with last weeks system. I'll ban myself for a week if the precip shield doesn't end up further N/NW
Haha old age is a killer. Dude must be sending the thread in by horse and buggy
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,376
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If I don't get anything from this, I'd love for you to score here. Macon to Augusta to Columbia. Literally a lot of the folks who has missed out for the last half a decade.
Shaggy
Member
Could this make 2 wins in a row for the new gfs? Think this one may sneak up on a few people if it continues to trend better
NCSNOW
Member
Is that Columbia under 4.4? Whens the last time snow accumulated there?
whatalife
Moderator
Storm5
Member
Thread is open
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Storm5
Member
GaSnowhound
Member
Delta, just based upon what you see as NAM is starting to pick this one up, what would be chances of prescription shield expansion NW even if initial track held serve? I’m not trying to screw Macon etc ? but that seemed to be such a narrow band compared to what I thought appeared to indicate precip shield??? Thanks!
Facts right and over the CAE Airport, wouldn’t t that be a way to break the snow drought??
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
I’ve been there in the summer. Idk how the ground would ever get cold enough by winter to accumulate anything.
New thread for Sunday threat....thanks
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
GFS was horrendous here with the last system. 24 hours before the event it had all rain here and ended up with 5.5 inches of snow as a result.
FamouslyHot
Member
February 2014, November 1, 2014 or March 2017 was the last snow over 0.1” depending on which part of Columbia you look at. Officially for downtown it is Feb 2014.
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2017
Those airport readings typically stinks or go on the low end it seems.
Nah, no shift needed. Just need to expand the overrunning moisture further north and we have a nice little event. That is certainly not unheard of with overrunning setups like this.
Stormlover
Member
The ICON is much more progressive in getting the n/s across. That decreases our chances for a valentines day storm.
Or not... Incoming?
Edit: Probably not, we get the same setup the GFS had yesterday with a sheared out wave. Let's hope we trend back towards more ridging along the EC.
BufordWX
Member
Nothing like a balmy 14 degrees at Noon...
Downeastnc
Member
ICON not looking to bad....in fact this looks damn decent
Can't ask for better than that at the end of the run.
BufordWX
Member
That is one heck of a temperature difference. 19 in OKC and in the mid 60s about 50-75 miles to the south. Powerful cold front...
Storm5
Member
Damn the gfs is getting colder middle of next week
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That’s very bad for our storm potential around the 13th though.
Stormlover
Member
no it's not
Storm5
Member
Depends . The front is gonna get hung up somewhere that we know . This look right here should work . Let’s see how this run plays out
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Storm5
Member
Jessy89
Member
If the cold air doesn’t retreat before the storm. Then it be great to have cold here before hand to cool the ground temps
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Stormlover
Member
it's not much different at all from the last two runs with the push of arctic air...this isn't going to do that so far
Keep in mind that the Pacific needs to setup very perfectly. We can get a s/w, but without a proper trough south of Alaska, and a ridge directly to the east, the storm will shear out rather than deepen.Depends . The front is gonna get hung up somewhere that we know . This look right here should work . Let’s see how this run plays out
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Man you can’t help but like our chances with that lobe placement. Get that PV pinwheel spinning with energy flying around and this can work. It can still snow here. I think.
JLL1973
Member
he’s probably thinking the extreme cold will suppress the moisture which is often the case in the south
Stormlover
Member
yeah, but this is very little difference so far in the push
BufordWX
Member
V16 has something cooking in the oven by hour 156.