that cold lakes vortex just sitting pretty there, hopefully we can pop some energy under that thing somehow
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
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Jessy89
Member
The lack there of a cold snap Monday could doom our midweek storm. Obviously we could see a reverse but this set of models isn’t pretty.
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Lol what a huge difference 
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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Colder than a witches tata in a brass bra.
This is still a good look for that time period, as the last several runs has showed ??
Are you referring to suppression for snow chances? Otherwise that's balls cold in the SE.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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13mb drop in 12 hours on this GFS run! This low is bombing out and looking snowier each run for here! I new I loved analfrontal precip! It does work!
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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With that look, you would have to think slider and not cutter I would think.This is still a good look for that time period, as the last several runs has showed ??
packfan98
Moderator
Nice looking storm on the GFS. looks to be a RDU to eastern NC special.
I’m glad I’m not the only one that noticed that. Being where I’m at in Union County, I’m right where 3 different CWFAs (GSP, Raleigh, Columbia) so I usually will read all 3 discussions... not once have I ever seen the ICON referenced.
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Nice little event on the 12z GFS for next Tuesday/Wednesday depending on where you are.
Snow in the mid-20s at 18z...this would be amazing
Dang you could already feel the warm nose from that one
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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Signal still there for Feb 10 plus. Goal posts will move almost every run. Just stay on the field and keep playing.
That is the difference here with prior runs. TPV gets further east and can hold confluence and ridging at bay for the next wave, ergo boom. This can trend even better for more on the board.
Best look I've seen in mby for models next week. Can enjoy until at least the 18z right?
Shaggy
Member
This is why I hate watching every cycle because we will get great runs and bad runs and everything inbetween. The overall pattern is what is important.
The cold is still there on Monday, it’s just not the ridiculous cold with widespread single digit lows like it’s shown some, and is still seen in the ensembles. Also, I still wouldn’t write off the Sunday system yet.
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I know you come from the old school like I do and a bunch of others. That's how we were trained.
Jessy89
Member
This just isn’t upstate sc year. We usually get at least one accumulating snow a year north of 85. I haven’t thrown the towel in yet. But times running out
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iGRXY
Member
It's the beginning of February. Y'all need to RELAX.
Virga is a ----- 
Avalanche
Member
Will yall please stop showing the Jan 2000 radar!!!
Stormlover
Member
I think he's talking about ice/overriding, perhaps?
Shaggy
Member
I've been posting on these boards since the late 90s when TWC had their own forum and their on air Mets would pop in from time to time.
Not bad, might be even better then the GFS lol, I like my events in Florida at go time
Lol
But I do like that signal of some confluence In SE Canada/some sort of wave around the 10-11th as @Webberweather53 said
Lol
But I do like that signal of some confluence In SE Canada/some sort of wave around the 10-11th as @Webberweather53 said
Jessy89
Member
21% of our snow comes in February 19% of it comes in March but marches numbers are scewed by the 1993 blizzard.
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Also that snow isn’t going to go anywhere fast at all .. multiple days below freezing .. wow
Dewpoint Dan
Member
March is skewed by at least 2 snowstorms in Atlanta. I think March has less snow events than Dec-Feb but when it does snow it's often a big one.
SouthSideYankee
Member
12z gfs looking gorgeous. Also, this weekend's wave moved a tick NW.
Got a few flakes now, just like 1 or 2, that’s literally been the last 2 days
I said last night and I’ll say it again, this system is not far off from being a widespread accumulating snow for much of NC and northern SC
That's close to being super mega awesome pants crushing historic
I'd say it's January > February > December > March for most of the southeast. March has big dogs on rare occasions but not very often.
Storm5
Member
Only 7-9 days out .......
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I’m a huge fan of this look ?? all you basically need is a wave to slide under that 
all you basically need is a wave to slide under that
Typically when something happens (storm) it’s when the -NAO retrogrades, the weekend system honestly just doesn’t get me, we typically see something when our -NAO retrogrades/decays like this... this look is starting to translate into the medium range ??