Dunno but I’m a fan of the cold being here first, HP ftw
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
This cold blast reminds me of January 2019, but way more blocking this time, what could possibly go wrong, we at least onset ice in 2019 with that airmass 
January 2019 was an absolute tire fire for snow for most in the south east of the Apps.
Hello
Wow! Didn't expected that. Just a 20-40 mile SE Shift or a small cooling trend and the Augusta-Columbia area could get a significant snowstorm according to the GFS.
Nice increase on the GEFS too.
Ok ok 
Clem282340
Member
Just a little shift nw and this will be i85 special
whatalife
Moderator
The February 6th-9th is looking really interesting. Fun times ahead!
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Last edited:
The 6z GFS would be great for a few but suck for many. Lets do hope we can get it a little more south (for you Columbia folks) with a more expansive precip field (for everybody else).
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Wow what a change. This one might be sneaking up on all of us.
We're almost inside day 5 too which makes this all the more intriguing.
Run to run changes like this make me happy.
whatalife
Moderator
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Oh yeah 2-3 closed contour buzzsaw ridge over greenland mmmm
Not far from a December 2017 like setup with more cold air to boot. Yeehaw.
Attachments
Here's RAH. I believe they had a peek at the 6z GFS:
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 459 AM Monday...
High pressure builds in from the the west Wednesday and will support
dry conditions through Thursday. Confidence then decreases for
Friday and into the weekend, as significant model differences with
the evolution of a cold front through and subsequent secondary
surface cyclogenesis as the front stalls off the SE coast. The ECMWF
shows conditions briefly drying out Saturday before returning
moisture to the area again Saturday night into Sunday. The GFS is
slightly slower with the lead front, but shows more in the way of an
ana-frontal precip band late Friday through Saturday night.
Temperatures and p-types will have to be watched closely as CAD
development is likely across the NC Piedmont, particularly towards
the end of the precip event. For now, will advertise rain chances
for all of central NC with another widespread soaking expected
Friday into the weekend. Temperatures Friday and Saturday are in the
50s but will likely have to trend cooler as there is more model
agreement.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 459 AM Monday...
High pressure builds in from the the west Wednesday and will support
dry conditions through Thursday. Confidence then decreases for
Friday and into the weekend, as significant model differences with
the evolution of a cold front through and subsequent secondary
surface cyclogenesis as the front stalls off the SE coast. The ECMWF
shows conditions briefly drying out Saturday before returning
moisture to the area again Saturday night into Sunday. The GFS is
slightly slower with the lead front, but shows more in the way of an
ana-frontal precip band late Friday through Saturday night.
Temperatures and p-types will have to be watched closely as CAD
development is likely across the NC Piedmont, particularly towards
the end of the precip event. For now, will advertise rain chances
for all of central NC with another widespread soaking expected
Friday into the weekend. Temperatures Friday and Saturday are in the
50s but will likely have to trend cooler as there is more model
agreement.
&&
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lower the heights over the Great Lakes, SE Ontario, and Southern Quebec & good things start to happen
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah December 2017 except further east would be ?