Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[superjames1992]

There’s definitely potential for a big storm around the D10 timeframe, though I’m not 100% sold yet. Definitely our best shot of a widespread winter storm of the year, though. Hopefully, we don’t blow it, though I’d put our odds under 50/50 for now. Long way to go...

 

[Jrips2710]

Euro just kicked off. This feels like one of those runs that crushes weenie dreams. Hope it’s a good one instead. Let’s get it y’all ❄☃

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Even if it’s light that’s a nice radar image, nice to see it drop down

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Let’s see what this does

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There must have been sampling because all models have had this big change in the NPAC out of nowhere

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I-40 event probably about to happen

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Meh

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s something I guess

 

[Arcc]

NE gonna get demolished this run.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

It’s something I guess View attachment 70187View attachment 70188

I’ll take my 1.5 lollipop thank you very much!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That dang ridging near the Aleutians

 

[Storm5]

Lol 12z vs 00z

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Would think that ridging would help us get colder but it doesn’t, still a good pattern but not as cold

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol 567dm ridge west based -NAO this run (5 sigma)

 

[Rick]

Lol 567dm ridge west based -NAO this run (5 sigma) View attachment 70193View attachment 70194

Not looking good for cold or snow ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

To sheared/weak

 

[Engeo]

Same old same old it seems

 

[Myfrotho704_]

As we expected, models are gonna change and not look good every run (even tho the euro still overall didn’t look that bad to me), let’s see how they look tomorrow.

 

[Rick]

As we expected, models are gonna change and not look good every run (even tho the euro still overall didn’t look that bad to me), let’s see how they look tomorrow.

I agree but we need to see good trends in the next few days or its not going to be good ?

 

[Webberweather53]

Euro still trying to give us an overrunning event near-just after feb 10

 

[Webberweather53]

Whoa, that's a monster sfc high

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol the block

 

[Webberweather53]

View attachment 70200Lol the block

Pants loaded pattern

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Still looks solid

 

[Webberweather53]

Lol a 1041mb sfc high on a day 9 ensemble mean diving into the northern plains

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This look just screams overrunning

 

[Chandler]

incoming

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This EPS run is probably the best yet for that overrunning signal

 

[Myfrotho704_]

???

 

[Winter Storm]

MAN ----!!!!

 

[Chandler]

???View attachment 70214

Screw ENC, it’s our turn (jk)

 

[Winter Storm]

 

[Webberweather53]

EPS has that overrunning look to it evolution wise Feb 11-12. Just need the trough over Atlantic Canada to dig more and intensify, won’t know for sure if that happens til we get beyond this weekend

 

[Webberweather53]

View attachment 70216

Probably the highest mean I’ve seen this season down here in Fayetteville

 

[Chandler]

some big ones

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

MAN Bleep per Brick!!!!

View attachment 70215

This gotta have some major ice with it .. that looked like a heavy dump of moisture over us and only 6 inches in Raleigh? Lights out?

 

[Chandler]

I can’t get over this control run. Big time ice in enc/sc and ratios would be higher with snow areas. February 2014 much modernweenie

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS is basically right where we been the last week in the LR, -NAO still going ? watch that change things up View attachment 69992

And that’s exactly what’s happening, things are changing up, this is a legendary -NAO

 

[Myfrotho704_]

One of the best EPS runs yet for this upcoming pattern