Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
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Looks like the overrunning composite I posted above, about 5-6 days in advance of a big storm. Now we just need individual waves along the periphery of the vortex to cooperate.
There is the "famous" "hockey stick" look that JB used/still does harp on about a good look to the pattern for cold and snow.
I don't know the last time we have seen this look, to be honest.
I don't know the last time we have seen this look, to be honest.
RDU finishes January 2021 with a 0.0 departure from normal. Completely average! Impressive. Highest temp: 60, lowest: 20. Mild and seasonal weather predominated all month with very little in the way of extremes.
In some ways (not completely) it reminds me of December 2018, but much stronger blocking And colder with a deeper TPV 
Evolution-wise against the above composite, this GFS run might try to produce something just after Feb 10th
CAE finished January 0.8 above average. Our highs were actually -0.5 but our lows were +2.1. That seems to be the story the past few years, our nighttime lows are getting warmer and warmer. It's a big deal now if we even hit freezing at night.
I want to see more of a cold air push at 850 .. these temps are just too marginal verbatim...?
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Brad. In all seriousness. If we can't score that would be very unfortunate. I mean we saw precip like 5 days last week lol 
This isn't a bad look at all at this range folks. I'll take it for now.
Wow true Arctic polar air ... winter is coming .. and this time he means it
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Mehh a northwest trend is probably super unlikely with that look but who knows
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
My understanding is that AGW is expected to cause lows to rise faster than highs, so that kind of jives. Also, maybe the UHI in a lot of metros is increasing, which has a bigger effect on nighttime lows than daytime highs. It’s been a couple years since we saw teens here, which is unreal. I hope that changes soon.
Trying to take a page out of Jan 1982 ATL snowjam's playbook
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Possibly incoming?? Around the 10th as @Webberweather53 alluded to