Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[Ollie Williams]

A big difference vs. Webb's composite map, will be the trough over Alaska.

 

[Mitch West]

Possibly incoming?? Around the 10th as @Webberweather53 alluded toView attachment 69874

Wouldn't be surprised, normally our threats come at the tail end of a cold pattern normally when the core of the Arctic airmass is leaving. Scoring before is always ideal though.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[FamouslyHot]

My understanding is that AGW is expected to cause lows to rise faster than highs, so that kind of jives. Also, maybe the UHI in a lot of metros is increasing, which has a bigger effect on nighttime lows than daytime highs. It’s been a couple years since we saw teens here, which is unreal. I hope that changes soon.

My guess is it has to do with how much wetter it's been. More moisture and more cloud cover at night means fewer chances for radiational cooling to occur. UHI I think applies for a lot of locations, but Columbia hasn't seen that much growth over the last 30 years, IMO.

 

[Webberweather53]

Evolution-wise against the above composite, this GFS run might try to produce something just after Feb 10th

Lol right on cue

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Think we have a boom incoming.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol I’m a fan of this pattern for this reason. Lol 2x

 

[FamouslyHot]

Think we have a boom incoming.

Locked and loaded. That high isn't going anywhere.

 

[Avalanche]

Lol right on cue

View attachment 69876

Does this continue to ride the gulf and exit off GA, or does it cut?

 

[Rain Cold]

Lol right on cue

View attachment 69876

It had better not shoot northeast in the next few frames.

 

[Broken024]

Incoming boys, helmets on!

 

[Avalanche]

It had better not shoot northeast in the next few frames.

That was my question. Please dont cut.

 

[Chandler]

oof, no fantasy here but potential there

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

You must be kidding me. Wtf

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hour 210 says rain it’s over. Take the GFS face value. Lol

 

[Webberweather53]

It had better not shoot northeast in the next few frames.

The trailing wave axis is too fast here, needs to back up a little or the Lakes Vortex needs to progress more.

 

[Mitch West]

LP jumped North, but who cares, we have an eternity to work this one out.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Snow or not, Super Bowl Sunday looks cold.

 

[Spurs up]

OofView attachment 69878

lol i knew it!

 

[Avalanche]

OofView attachment 69878

Lol, rides the south and still rain. Urgh