I thought that was our winter weather time frame ?Wow! What a severe setup towards the 8-9th!
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I thought that was our winter weather time frame ?
I'll take a quick look at the 500 MB maps and trough maps but I think the reason why it cuts is because there is no eastern trough.
Edit: yep. flat flow will be a cutter no matter what, there is a way of fixing this but it's doubtful it happens. with the strength of the pacific this is going to be a pattern that favors cutters.
Yes indeed it's a big change...that's what I've been wanting to see. I'd like to see that first system little further north and east to allow that colder air to get in here. If that doesn't work then the second system may come in here at the same time the cold air does. Timing is crucial.I'll be damned. That is a big change NorthGAWinterWx.
The only thing in question is the warm air the low is pulling in. That would cause severe weather somewhere, and if the cold was south 200 miles, the northern end would get snow, but we would have to worry a bit about warm noses since there isn't a high to the north of us when that low comes though, only in Missouri. But regardless, I do believe that 12Z will be another change, just let's hope it is towards a snow event rather than a severe one.They both, GFS and ECMWF form secondary lows along the gulf with high pressure moving in from the nw. A good trend and a setup that could merit a quality winter event for some of us.
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The only thing in question is the warm air the low is pulling in. That would cause severe weather somewhere, and if the cold was south 200 miles, the northern end would get snow, but we would have to worry a bit about warm noses since there isn't a high to the north of us when that low comes though, only in Missouri. But regardless, I do believe that 12Z will be another change, just let's hope it is towards a snow event rather than a severe one.
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I see some are trying to find a needle in the haystack...Which I hope is found and comes true...
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Yep, right now there is nothing that really looks promising unless there is something dramatic change. A flat flow is not going to get it done. The system on the 9-10th is hardly cold and lags behind the moisture if it gets here at all.I see some are trying to find a needle in the haystack...Which I hope is found and comes true...
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Can't say that I'm not excited about the south trend of the models but I know the damn 4k NAM will win and this will be north of me. Should give us something to talk about on the live show thoughLol nice.... but hey Friday is looking a tad more interesting for us, not much but it's something
To quote you.... oh so closeCan't say that I'm not excited about the south trend of the models but I know the damn 4k NAM will win and this will be north of me. Should give us something to talk about on the live show though
Can't say that I'm not excited about the south trend of the models but I know the damn 4k NAM will win and this will be north of me. Should give us something to talk about on the live show though
To quote you.... oh so close
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Looks like some of that would be zr.
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Close only counts in horseshoes and hand-grenades
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Thankfully I am not emotionally invested yet but the Euro sure wanted to make meIt this trends warmer or north I'm assuming the live show would not be family friendly?! Lol
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