Pattern February Discussion

[GeorgiaGirl]

Good North Carolina winter storm on this one.

 

[Shawn]

That's funny, I was thinking it could speed up and give us some nice overrunning instead of a big system.

Oh I agree. I'm just watching for another source of cold air as the first really seems to be a lost hope lately.

 

[Storm5]

well hot damn now we have all ops and ensembles showing the day 8-10

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[Shawn]

That's a "3" not a five lol

AH hah! Thanks. My eyesight has gone to Hell.

 

[accu35]

Big potential

 

[Shawn]

Looks like half of SC gets a pretty heavy hit on the backside for the second system.

 

[SnowHusky]

Wow y'all...looks like my prediction is coming together. Hey, hey GFS look whatcha got cooking.

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[bouncycorn]

The reason all of these systems are warm is 1) the western ridge isn't *that* strong and 2) both feature weak highs/strong lows.

 

[packfan98]

 

[Shawn]

Good chunk of this is likely snow too. Not too shabby, but way out there:

 

[Storm5]

Wow y'all...looks like my prediction is coming together. Hey, hey GFS look whatcha got cooking.

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you had been saying after this time period

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[Tarheel1]

8-10 day storm is about the best look we've had all year, for a big winter storm, in the Carolinas atleast! Aside from a few GFS runs with 33" near RAH! But I'm sure the clown maps will be good for this one as well!

 

[accu35]

 

[Parker]

That track looked really nice, just need some cold air for us.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

If that run happened verbatim, that's snow
For a lot of us.

 

[whatalife]

Did I miss something?


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[GaWx]

Shawn posted this list of the biggest Columbia storms previously (I added the low track) and has emphasized the 2nd week in Feb. to be more climo favored for a big snowstorm than other weeks. Note how clumped are the 5 storm dates that are bolded! Something somewhat similar can be found for a number of other SE US locations. Note the lack of any for the 1st week of Feb. for whatever reason;

HERE ARE THE TOP 10 SNOW EVENTS FOR COLUMBIA with low track added:

16.0 INCHES...FEBRUARY 9-10 1973: C FL
11.8 INCHES...FEBRUARY 11-14 1899: C FL
11.7 INCHES...FEBRUARY 25-26 1914: C FL
11.3 INCHES...FEBRUARY 24-25 1894: C FL
8.8 INCHES...DECEMBER 10-11 1958: C FL
8.6 INCHES...FEBRUARY 12-13 2010: C FL
8.5 INCHES...FEBRUARY 11-12 1895: N FL
8.1 INCHES...FEBRUARY 10-11 1912: N FL
6.3 INCHES...FEBRUARY 23 1901: N FL
6.2 INCHES...JANUARY 29-30 1936: N FL

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Wow y'all...looks like my prediction is coming together. Hey, hey GFS look whatcha got cooking.

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You have been posting on every single run for the past 3 days the 10th thru the 13th.... LOL

 

[bouncycorn]

This is a mean of the top 25 Atlanta snow events. MSLP .

 

[Shawn]

Shawn posted this list of the biggest Columbia storms previously (I added the low track) and has emphasized the 2nd week in Feb. to be more climo favored for a big snowstorm than other weeks. Note how clumped are the 5 storm dates that are bolded! Something somewhat similar can be found for a number of other SE US locations. Note the lack of any for the 1st week of Feb. for whatever reason;

HERE ARE THE TOP 10 SNOW EVENTS FOR COLUMBIA with low track added:

16.0 INCHES...FEBRUARY 9-10 1973: C FL
11.8 INCHES...FEBRUARY 11-14 1899: C FL
11.7 INCHES...FEBRUARY 25-26 1914: C FL
11.3 INCHES...FEBRUARY 24-25 1894: C FL
8.8 INCHES...DECEMBER 10-11 1958: C FL
8.6 INCHES...FEBRUARY 12-13 2010: C FL
8.5 INCHES...FEBRUARY 11-12 1895: N FL
8.1 INCHES...FEBRUARY 10-11 1912: N FL
6.3 INCHES...FEBRUARY 23 1901: N FL
6.2 INCHES...JANUARY 29-30 1936: N FL

Yeah. I haven't pulled all snow threats, these are just the highest amounts. I should try to pull that data and see just how many 1 inch + storms there were in Feb. I'll get back with that soon.