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Pattern February Discussion

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NorthGAWinterWx said:
Based from the EPS, tonight's 0z GFS run will be fun after the first system.

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It's all fun and games right now, but we'll see. The energy is held back on the EPS. There is a phase with some energy coming out of Canada and energy rolling through the SW...the phase is over the Plains rolling southeast ward. Maybe, just maybe there will be cold air to work with.



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ForsythSnow said:
I will only give up if it is February 28th and March looks to be a torch, but we have a month to see whether we get thrown in the dumpster fire or get another storm.
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Agreed.... February hasn't even begun yet and as volatile as the pattern is, I wouldn't rule anything out. By the way, I will never trust the weeklies, they have failed us too many times to count.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
Agreed.... February hasn't even begun yet and as volatile as the pattern is, I wouldn't rule anything out. By the way, I will never trust the weeklies, they have failed us too many times to count.
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Yeah, the weeklies do really seem to suck!! I remember when we were looking for them for any kind of hope for cold the last few years and it would show cold coming in the later weeks , only to never happen!! Maybe this torch will not materialize
 
Tarheel1 said:
Yeah, the weeklies do really seem to suck!! I remember when we were looking for them for any kind of hope for cold the last few years and it would show cold coming in the later weeks , only to never happen!! Maybe this torch will not materialize
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That's the spirit! Let's hope that the 0Z is a great run tonight! I expect something new again.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
If that's the case why do some forecasters, Jame Spann for instance, tend to base their forecast on the GFS ?
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I don't know, or know anything about the guy to be honest. Maybe it handles severe better for his market.
 
If the severe weather is still modeled within 5 days of the event, I could start a topic.
 
BHS1975 said:
NAM nailed the last one.


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Unfortunately our 850s have already veered out of the SW and we are at +1-2c so we would be looking at rain or sleet(less likely) possibly changing to freezing rain or sleet if we can wet bulb the surface. The 12k nam is just warm enough for all rain. It's such a close call and one that will probably give the Roxboro to South hill something wintry

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Got coffee brewing and I'll be cranking up some music for the 0z. Wanted dead or alive is the first song I'm gonna play tonight.

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