while others have been in the 7th -10th timeframe.......
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Pattern February Discussion
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No, I said 10th-13th (maybe sooner or later). I said that a few days ago. Timing will change. The reason why I've been saying 10th-13th is because I don't think a system will come right after the 5th-6th system.
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Quick! Hide the 18Z from Brick! Lol. Great run, just not for North Georgia.
Yep I'll take that....goes to bed...
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pcbjr
Member
Parker
Member
That storm track is just too good to not have cold air for our area. I'm just glad we have something to track and that the ensembles are in decent agreement.
This is a mean of the top 25 Atlanta snow events. MSLP .
Wow, great map, bouncy! I'm not at all surprised to see the mean surface low position to cross over north-central FL for the biggest ATL snow events. Note for Tony that this also includes big sleetstorms and that this is relevant to much of the nonmountainous well inland SE US.
hate seeing such a good low track 8 days out .....
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Parker
Member
Yep, me too. Too much time for it to turn in an apps runner and then end up killing New England.
Which is starting right after the 5th-6th system exits. I think the second system will start coming about 7th-9th...getting in here by the 10th or so. I just don't think that second system will get in here by the 7th or 8th. I'm trying to think of realistic timing windows.lol this one starts the 7th
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you just said you didn't think it comes right after the 6th . now your saying it starts around the 7th . lol
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bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Would you rather see a poor track like the first system has had for days? It's had a consistent poor track.
Shawn,
What happened to your post of 1"+ SN at CAE? I was about to reply to it to say that it only reinforced how active the 2nd week of Feb. has been with another 3 from then making 8 from the 2nd week! I did see one added for 2/6, making it the only one for the 1st week for 1"+ vs 8 for the 2nd week!
What happened to your post of 1"+ SN at CAE? I was about to reply to it to say that it only reinforced how active the 2nd week of Feb. has been with another 3 from then making 8 from the 2nd week! I did see one added for 2/6, making it the only one for the 1st week for 1"+ vs 8 for the 2nd week!
Okay Larry. Here is some more dates for CAE of 1 inch or more. I am sure there were many many more sleet/zr events, and a good chunk of data is missing for the older stuff on my source:
2/23/1901 6.3
2/10/1912 1.6
2/11/1912 6.5
2/25/1914 1
2/26/1914 9.9
2/21/1936 6.2
2/13/1958 1.7
2/9/1967 1
2/9/1973 1.4
2/10/1973 12.3
2/18/1979 3.7
2/6/1980 5.5
2/23/1989 4.3
2/12/2010 3.4
2/12/2014 1.5
1889-02-22 2.1
1894-02-24 1
1894-02-25 1.1
1894-12-28 10.2
1895-02-11 5
1895-02-12 3.1
1899-02-12 4.9
1899-02-13 3.4
1899-02-14 6.8
2/23/1901 6.3
2/10/1912 1.6
2/11/1912 6.5
2/25/1914 1
2/26/1914 9.9
2/21/1936 6.2
2/13/1958 1.7
2/9/1967 1
2/9/1973 1.4
2/10/1973 12.3
2/18/1979 3.7
2/6/1980 5.5
2/23/1989 4.3
2/12/2010 3.4
2/12/2014 1.5
1889-02-22 2.1
1894-02-24 1
1894-02-25 1.1
1894-12-28 10.2
1895-02-11 5
1895-02-12 3.1
1899-02-12 4.9
1899-02-13 3.4
1899-02-14 6.8
I had other months than Feb in there ;P
I'd rather see that track 5 days in . we all know this track won't hold for the next week . plus we don't even know the gfs is right with the day 5/6 system. the euro and eps is way south .
the good news. it's a workable setup .
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bouncycorn
Meteorologist
We aren't even in 5 days for the first system and people have already discounted it.
that's the whole point. why the hell would anyone get too excited about the day 8-10 system when the first one is bouncing all over the damn place
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bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Completely agree.
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