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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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CPC still beating the "cold air" drum, though ... (FWIW)

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Jeremy Camp said:
Atlanta area received 10 inches i'd be happy!!
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Well, if that deep cold air will get in here during the most part of the system and not at the last minute we could get that much. 1" of rain = 10" of snow, again, only *if* the system was all snow for the most part.

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I'm locking this thread and cleaning it up. There is a banter thread for a reason. I'm just as guilty as some for getting off track. let's keep the discussion about February

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Wish the sun angle myth would just die. It has to do with snow melt, that's it. It's not really noticeable given we get a large snowstorm until after February. It's a pretty much non factor, in general...thus, quit mentioning it.


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The 12Z looks actually decent. Surface temps are in the low 40s and the 850s are close for many in the upper southeast. Don't focus on details, but the range they can go, eight up some or down some. If they trend down, someone down in the south could be happy.
 
Stormlover said:
yeah, let that be remembered next time someone says it was too warm the day before so it won't stick ;-)
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Yup, it doesn't matter how warm it's been or how long...you can still get significant snowfall amounts, regardless how warm it's been.

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It seems the last few years that even if the teleconnections are favorable we don't score. Not that we would necessarily in the south but seems that they are less predictive than ever before.


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Ground Temps are just fine regardless of today's temperature.

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12z Euro could be a very good run, ULL much slower than the 00z


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