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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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Parker said:
When does the gefs come out? I always just look at y'all post it and never have bothered to look it up on my own because I don't know to view it. Are these ensembles maps of the snowfall viewable by anybody, or is it something you have to have a weatherbell membership for?
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it's out not much support. a few have the general idea, but the majority do not

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Threading a needle for sure we would need about a 18 hour head start for the cold before the storm to get a good storm for majority of board
 
GEFS should be a little bit better, at least for the Carolinas. Nothing ground breaking, yet.
 
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Shawn said:
GEFS should be a little bit better, at least for the Carolinas. Nothing ground breaking, yet.
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Yeah I mean it's better vs previous runs but that because previous run sucked . But its not a strong storm signal

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Storm5 said:
it's out not much support. a few have the general idea, but the majority do not

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lol, there's more support than last night runs for this storm, not much but better than zero support
 
If the OP continues to show this storm, then I believe we will have more support from gefs, I hope.
 
Storm5 said:
but we can't just ignore that solution . in fact the last few gefs runs support a cmc like solution .

let's see what the gefs shows in a few . It's a fine line we are walking with timing . If one thing is off the whole thing changes for better or worse

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The story of winter in the south. :)
 
Here is a bit further on. The previous member map didn't count the "late bloomer" idea for some areas. It's an improvement, but I'm not too comfy until Euro gets the idea.

gefs_snow_ens_se_37.png
 
Meh gefs says just enough to keep interest but I'm with you guys need some Euro support.

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I mean as much as models have jumped around this year... just looking for gradual improvement of models at this point isn't much to ask at least into Sunday. IF OPs and Ensembles for Euro and GFS can slowly get on same page that's all we are looking for at moment but would prefer to be just a tid bit slower
 
Storm5 said:
Haha desperate times , it's every man for himself . My favorite time a year when people could care less about others and their backyards and focus on their own. must be getting late into winter

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Thats where we are going, board wide.....central nc.....eastern wake county....I dont care I just want mines
 
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