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Pattern February Discussion Part II
- Thread starter $alt
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
It's good to see the models all see something out there at this point. If everything sees it, some storm should happen somewhere. Just need that cold to be close enough, but not too intense.
RollTide18
Member
just remember if this works out, I called it first lol jk. Not a bad look
Yeah, interesting time period
Storm5
Member
actually Larry was first but we will throw you in there if you want loljust remember if this works out, I called it first lol jk. Not a bad look
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RollTide18
Member
with the 540, this could easily be a rain to snow situation. Need more cold!!
Definitely need more cold, surface temps in the 40s for most of AL
GeorgiaGirl
Member
As I said, this has shown during this time period for a while but the difference is in earlier runs this was being buried in Mexico. So I think the idea of a storm was picked up but who knows on the details. Could be in Mexico, could just end up being a MA/NE special.
accu35
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Oh yeah forgot about Larry lol. Give him credit he deserves it.
pcbjr
Member
No - not saying that - but I'm scratching my head since by and large temps have not acted like one might expect given varying other set-ups this winter. I've really looked hard (and obviously I pay a lot of attention to teleconnections) and am a present loss to see what gets the NS into play down here any time soon; the players are surely at the table but something seems to have (has had anyway) thrown grit in the gearbox
Storm5
Member
gonna be hard to get too far north with the blocking and 50/50 in place. As met said earlier , this is a situation that could actually trend south with the blocking showing
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pcbjr
Member
although:
whatalife
Moderator
pcbjr
Member
Not posting pictures just to post pictures, but this sorta illustrates the head scratching (at least from this end of the world) - seems a -NAO, -AO and what looks to be a -EPO don't/won't hold a grip - but alas, these are just models and maybe things will behave, finally, like they are "supposed" to
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Maybe the Pacific Ocean will behave next winter like it did for the two winters before last winter...
Serious question here. If the pacific was so favorable in the 2014-15 winter, why did Atlanta get shut out ? What was it that went wrong for Atlanta that winter ?
Euro has the system also it's just a cutter and would likely be some severe with it.....
Not your typical cutter though as it hits the wall of blocking and then heads due east off the coast around the Delmarva region, I still think this ends up further south
Not your typical cutter though as it hits the wall of blocking and then heads due east off the coast around the Delmarva region, I still think this ends up further south
Storm5
Member
that's good , if it showed any wintry it would fail .
I'm really interested in the day 8-10 period . just need a little after NS
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Lol exactly.... I did go back and edit my post as it's not your typical cutter
Storm5
Member
I agree and that run shows how this is gonna have trouble getting too far north as you pointed out
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Also I think the Euro is faster with the energy ejecting out which allows it to get further north initially.... so I don't know we're doing something like threading the needle right? Lol always!
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