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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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Storm5 said:
yep that's a really good look for your area and the east coast

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Agree but I wouldn't be surprised if this is one of the rare occasions where this trends colder and even a little south to get more in play, good pac ridge, some blocking and nice 50/50 low.... I think this time frame is gonna be our best bet (as I push all chips to the middle)
 
The track is almost perfect and you would think it would be colder but looks like a lp around the US/Canadian, I guess our infamous GL low, is screwing with temps

edit: I say ALMOST perfect track, certainly a little further south would be ideal.... I think Larry probably has statistics about the best lp track for SE Miller A's
 
metwannabe said:
The track is almost perfect and you would think it would be colder but looks like a lp around the US/Canadian, I guess our infamous GL low, is screwing with temps

edit: I say ALMOST perfect track, certainly a little further south would be ideal.... I think Larry probably has statistics about the best lp track for SE Miller A's
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I know ARCC agrees but I think the GLL gets over played every year . but I see what your saying . I agree , this might be the last interesting time frame this winter

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that type of 12z gfs solution fits the pattern we are rolling into so it will be fun to watch

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Storm5 said:
I know ARCC agrees but I think the GLL gets over played every year . but I see what your saying . I agree , this might be the last interesting time frame this winter

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Agree, I probably should've stated verbatim it's what probably messes with temps and as your next post mentions it fits the pattern so definitely something to watch.
 
metwannabe said:
The track is almost perfect and you would think it would be colder but looks like a lp around the US/Canadian, I guess our infamous GL low, is screwing with temps

edit: I say ALMOST perfect track, certainly a little further south would be ideal.... I think Larry probably has statistics about the best lp track for SE Miller A's
Click to expand...

I watched my Falcons blow a 25 pt lead last night. Can't wait to see how this continues to get better looking only to fail us...LOL!

I agree though...This fits the pattern...


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great agreement on the 12z gefs of the cutoff moving through the deep south next week. Have to get the NS in play
6d5a58e9d2d2a0d52dc185da2fd8638b.jpg

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This is that time period that was showing snow in Mexico earlier on lol. The actual problem isn't the GLL I feel, it's that potential GOA low that might throw a monkey wrench into things. All of the teleconnections are good but temps are milder than what they'd be because of this feature.
 
Storm5 said:
great agreement on the 12z gefs of the cutoff moving through the deep south next week. Have to get the NS in play
6d5a58e9d2d2a0d52dc185da2fd8638b.jpg

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I think even the CMC has it too...


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It's really not a bad setup at all. I hope the cutoff doesn't bury and rot away like the cmc has

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GeorgiaGirl said:
This is that time period that was showing snow in Mexico earlier on lol. The actual problem isn't the GLL I feel, it's that potential GOA low that might throw a monkey wrench into things. All of the teleconnections are good but temps are milder than what they'd be because of this feature.
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agree - no real cold air to play with
 
If we can get the northern steam through before the cutoff ejects we will be good

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