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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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Feb 15-16 may start to spark soon too. Nice SE trough and huge ridge in the west. The Aleutian low looks very juicy too.


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So far, as of 75 hrs, the S/w is stronger. May be an end to the flattening idea on GFS?


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Looks like the second system is looking more juicer at 96...I can't tell cause I don't have the 12z up to compare.

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There's our possible winter storm at 114, let's see what happens.

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Low is a little stronger at 141. Gonna be a fight between the high and low to see if this is suppressed


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Low is a little stronger at 141. Gonna be a fight between the high and low to see if this is suppressed


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Doing on and off PBP here as I work and can't watch models right now - is suppression good or bad given everything else y'all are seeing?
 
The low comes down but not enough moisture. It may amp up as it gets further to the east.

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Trough orientation is too far East for it to blow up once the energy gets to the SE.
 
I wouldn't say it's over quite yet...

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Bet this will be the GFS run that spins the energy from this system back into the states after it warms up lol.
 
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