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Wintry February 6th-7th

Ollie Williams said:
Headed to sapphire valley on Saturday ⛄
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Ill be in Boone. Ground is still covered in several inches of snow. They get popped twice this upcoming week, it might end up as a all time greatest year up there. One of our mtn posters has posted that the ground has been covered above 4000 ft like 63 out of the last 65 days.
 
NCSNOW said:
2 inches of sleet beats 1 inch of 32.6 degree wind driven rain any day of the week. Lost count of the rainy days with temps in the 30s this season
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I don't remember the year but remember we had over 3inches of sleet in Winston. I remember plowing it and watching it roll down hill
 
POWERSTROKE said:
I don't remember the year but remember we had over 3inches of sleet in Winston. I remember plowing it and watching it roll down hill
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It may have been 1994 the last time we had big sleet. a couple of inches followed by major cold. Airport was closed for days because they did not plow while "soft" then it turned to concrete. Might be wrong on the year, but was around that time. Plowable sleet is not common.
 
00z GFS a bit south? Nice front end thump for the NC Piedmont. Is there hope? Seems the NW shifts have stopped, anyways. Will be interesting to see the other modeling tonight.
 
superjames1992 said:
00z RGEM came south a bit compared to its 18z run. Hammers NW Piedmont, it would appear (might need to check soundings, though). Roxboro bullseye, which seems legit.

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I wonder if we're seeing a potential trend towards a less amped southern stream. That would be great for areas on the border(parts of ATL metro, Greenville, Charlotte, etc).
 
LovingGulfLows said:
I wonder if we're seeing a potential trend towards a less amped southern stream. That would be great for areas on the border(parts of ATL metro, Greenville, Charlotte, etc).
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Let's hope so. Not getting my hopes up too much, but I'll keep on hoping, haha.

Just bit the $25 bullet and reupped my WeatherBell subscription. Time to reel something in....
 
Euro is WOW? . About as dream scenario as it's going to get with this storm. Less amped southern stream shortwave means less initial WAA and more southerly track. It's going to be so important to track how far south our front gets today since that will set the stage for everything. I hope this is not a mirage, but that Euro run was something else.
 
LovingGulfLows said:
Euro is WOW? . About as dream scenario as it's going to get with this storm. Less amped southern stream shortwave means less initial WAA and more southerly track. It's going to be so important to track how far south our front gets today since that will set the stage for everything. I hope this is not a mirage, but that Euro run was something else.
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The key for our neck of the woods is for the precip to get in here a few hours earlier than progged to give us east of Atl peeps some love before the waa changes us over to a cold rain.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
The key for our neck of the woods is for the precip to get in here a few hours earlier than progged to give us east of Atl peeps some love before the waa changes us over to a cold rain.
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Agreed, same goes for all of us. The Euro was several hours quicker than past runs at getting precip in, and that really helped us all out.

Might need to chase this to GSO if this look holds up. Could possibly be a warning criteria snow there if this holds together (probably under 50% still, but hey there's a shot). Maybe...... Not so confident for Durham, though who knows. If GSO gets warning criteria, it will probably snow here, too, but I expect less here, regardless.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
The key for our neck of the woods is for the precip to get in here a few hours earlier than progged to give us east of Atl peeps some love before the waa changes us over to a cold rain.
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And we know how these storms love to come in earlier than progged so I have some hope there. This could be the rare scenario where coming in early means the difference.
 
What's up with the GFS V16? It doesn't look like the 00z run ever ran? It would be nice to see since it seems to have had a decent handle on this system.
 
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