Wintry February 6th-7th

[CaryWx]

v16 noticeably moving NW with every run. Don't think this is done yet. Amping for sure though with totals.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Jessy89]

Maybe the NAM is over amping it. And will back off some. I know the NAM timing of the onset of the precip is also earlier then GFS


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I - 8 5

 

[Chandler]

Looks to be a good hit for the mountains

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks to be a good hit for the mountainsView attachment 71098

Why can’t we get a ens 29 for once ?

 

[Flotown]

not gonna lie getting a little excited about friday night and sat here in far n bama

 

[Chattownsnow]

Man what an absurd NW trend. We haven’t really seen that this winter, but I’d rather it happen on something like this than the bigger potential coming up.

12z gfs says hold my beer.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Looks to be a good hit for the mountainsView attachment 71098

Still getting those weird lollipops around north metro ATL on a number of members. ?

 

[Storm5]

I - 8 5 View attachment 71096

Guess I’m headed to my in-laws at the state line


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Still getting those weird lollipops around north metro ATL on a number of members. ?

850s/925s at the onset of the storm are below freezing or near freezing for the northern 3rd of the state. Could be some members are a bit colder aloft and starting out as snow in some places if theres pockets of colder air aloft.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

UKMET, lol it’s so sensitive on what’s rain and what’s snow, this is clearly a snow sounding yet it shows rain

 

[LukeBarrette]

UKMET, lol it’s so sensitive on what’s rain and what’s snow, this is clearly a snow sounding yet it shows rain View attachment 71131View attachment 71132View attachment 71133View attachment 71134

It loves to use sfc temps as a rain/snow line. 33 its rain, 32 is snow. When in reality with this setup, NC can snow with 34-35 when under good 850s.

 

[superjames1992]

Big jump north on the 12z UKMET towards the GFS. It’ll be interesting to see if the GGEM and Euro fold.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Big jump north on the 12z UKMET towards the GFS. It’ll be interesting to see if the GGEM and Euro fold.

GGEM was in the process of folding. It took a big NW jump as well.

 

[Nomanslandva]

I remember a storm several years ago that had an epic NW trend all within the NAMs timeframe. I went from dry to rain so I could see it continuing on this one. The difference my be that this one was modeled as farther NW days ago so it may just returning to where it was then?

 

[malak05]

Hey the 15z RAP at the end of it's run is close for I-20 north in GA

 

[Storm5]

Big jump north on the 12z UKMET towards the GFS. It’ll be interesting to see if the GGEM and Euro fold.

Lol it’s one run what are folding to?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[superjames1992]

Lol it’s one run what are folding to?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

It was showing a very suppressed solution with rain mostly staying offshore, but now it’s showing snow in SW VA. Pretty big jump.

 

[Storm5]

It was showing a very suppressed solution with rain mostly staying offshore, but now it’s showing snow in SW VA. Pretty big jump.

It’s one run . What does it matter . We need to a trend and we need multiple cycles for that


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk