Looks good and terrifying on paper, but reality I’m at +13-14 above average. That means my highs would be 42-43Can’t recall seeing departures this positive over the northern US and Canada
Impressive
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If it’s quick i wouldn’t really call it a “Pattern” Webb mentioned a true pattern should happen in February and it would have some staying power to it.Sure looks more east this time around to me. Wish we could get something to come up under that quick pattern on 1/31-2/1
Been a long time since we’ve seen the cold centered in the northeast like that. That’s when we shine. Raging mixed bag CAD storm while the mid south sits in the 50’s. I miss those daysLong live the wedge View attachment 143125View attachment 143126
Long live the wedge View attachment 143125View attachment 143126
My goodness that run almost pinched that energy off. The coastal front was pretty excitedLong live the wedge View attachment 143125View attachment 143126
At least we're not staring into the face of a never-ending -PNA. So +1 for that.Some nice trends week 2...GFS op run so grain of salt and all that.
Sure resembles a nino pattern
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Woah woah woah Brick. We are rockin with positive vibes today kind sir. Please get that mess outta here.I'm sure we'll get cold again in February after the warm up this week. I just don't think we'll have any precip to go along with it when it's cold enough for snow. It's been the same thing the last few winters. Cold and dry, warms up and rains, drys out in time for it to get cold again. Until that doesn't happen I don't see any reason to believe it's going to be any different in regards to snow chances in NC outside the mountains, and especially for the Triangle and east.
Cold air is dry and warm air is moist. It’s basic stuff here and nothing that is any different from the past. Thats how it is and always will be.. you need mechanisms to drive moisture into cold air. Energy didn’t dig like it needed to these last few storms so we got no precip. But to simply say when it’s cold it’s dry and that’s how it is nowadays is just silly and adds nothing to the conversation. Making a claim like that without any reasoning is pointless.I'm sure we'll get cold again in February after the warm up this week. I just don't think we'll have any precip to go along with it when it's cold enough for snow. It's been the same thing the last few winters. Cold and dry, warms up and rains, drys out in time for it to get cold again. Until that doesn't happen I don't see any reason to believe it's going to be any different in regards to snow chances in NC outside the mountains, and especially for the Triangle and east.
My only reason for posting this is to give you some assurance,Thanks man I really appreciate it. I think this spring/summer I know what I need to do ?
IThanks man I really appreciate it. I think this spring/summer I know what I need to do ?
The reasoning is that's how it's been the past three years, so no reason to think it's going to be any different until it actually does something different.Cold air is dry and warm air is moist. It’s basic stuff here and nothing that is any different from the past. Thats how it is and always will be.. you need mechanisms to drive moisture into cold air. Energy didn’t dig like it needed to these last few storms so we got no precip. But to simply say when it’s cold it’s dry and that’s how it is nowadays is just silly and adds nothing to the conversation. Making a claim like that without any reasoning is pointless.
It is that way now it seems. Broad troughs that reach way south seem more and more a thing of the past.That's a super strong wedge signal for such a long lead time on the CMCE. Seems like February 5-15 should be a great time to score a winter storm east of the apps. I've personally always been a fan of a warm Canada. The -30C arctic cold dropping down in to the great plains from Southern Canada rarely works out for us now.
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Oh yes the Cad of old right there...screaming ne winds and sleet storms...ill take!Long live the wedge View attachment 143125View attachment 143126
any example of sensible weather round here on feb 87?..dont remember
Those are the kind you can step outside and just feel the ne wind pressing into the area and zr turning to sleet and then mixing with snow.Oh yes the Cad of old right there...screaming ne winds and sleet storms...ill take!
Spot on right there.Those are the kind you can step outside and just feel the ne wind pressing into the area and zr turning to sleet and then mixing with snow.
any example of sensible weather round here on feb 87?..dont remember
Any good upstate sc storms in 87? I wasn’t born lolRaleigh had a couple of good hits in Feb '87
Lots of sleet in the Carolinas and a northwest NC ice and snowstorm right at the end of the month. I'm about certain Alabama missed both of these events.any example of sensible weather round here on feb 87?..dont remember
I’ve got a picture of me on a sled in 87 (could be 88) or with 10-12 inches of snow in north Georgia. Not sure the month.any example of sensible weather round here on feb 87?..dont remember
We got sleet in Feb 1987, but that was mostly from Greenville and east. This was a monster CAD event which was actually a forecast bust since it was supposed to be rain here. All of upstate SC got a decent snow event in Jan 1987, especially from Greenville to Gaffney and north. We actually came close to getting a major snowstorm in April too, but that ended up staying in the NC mountains. That event nailed Birmingham AL though with 6+ inches of snow.Any good upstate sc storms in 87? I wasn’t born lol
Probably either Jan 1987 or Jan 1988. You may have been far enough north to get the April 1987 event too.I’ve got a picture of me on a sled in 87 (could be 88) or with 10-12 inches of snow in north Georgia. Not sure the month.
Both. GSP got 12" Jan 87 and 14.4" Jan 88. Awesome storms!Probably either Jan 1987 or Jan 1988. You may have been far enough north to get the April 1987 event too.
Didn’t one of those February ‘87 storms give Raleigh something like 6-8” of sleet?Raleigh had a couple of good hits in Feb '87
Yes there it is on the 16th and 17th. 8” of mostly sleet near RDU. The most I’ve ever seen of pure sleet was January 1996 at 3.5”… I can’t imagine what that ‘87 storm was like87 seemed like a pretty good year, particularly for northern and western sections.
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1987 was a banner year for GVL North.Any good upstate sc storms in 87? I wasn’t born lol