Pattern February 2024

[SD]

Gfs has similar energy cresting the ridge in Canada near almost over Hudson Bay like the icon

 

[NCSNOW]

The iCON absolutely nailed the event yesterday for the NE 6 days out…just saying

View attachment 144221

It runs at the highest resoloution of all globals. Right there with euro, maybe higher if memory serves me correct

 

[Ollie Williams]

Really the GFS and ICON look very similar through 100 with the placement of everything.View attachment 144235View attachment 144236

The ICON pops a ridge into Greenland a bit, tilting it positively, causing the axis of the SE Canada low to extend further into the NE. That doesn't happen with the GFS to the same extent. It's certainly good to see slightly lowered heights this run- probably won't bomb like the ICON. Also looking less amped.

 

[LukeBarrette]

GFS is much further south with the energy this run

 

[iGRXY]

GFS is also less amped with the SW

 

[NCSNOW]

The low isnt getting any ns energy, icon had ull a nudge colder . Doesnt phase in ns as much

Gfs

Icon

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What is that in the NE ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

better feed

 

[ILMRoss]

The ICON pops a ridge into Greenland a bit, tilting it positively, causing the axis of the SE Canada low to extend further into the NE. That doesn't happen with the GFS to the same extent. It's certainly good to see slightly lowered heights this run- probably won't bomb like the ICON. Also looking less amped.

the souther stream is actually trending more amplified- check out the ridge strengthening behind it; probably is why the storm is digging more. don't know if this automatically means suppressed yet

but also dude i dont know i've never seen a 500 mb chart like this these things look like jackson pollock paintings

 

[SD]

Really would like to see the gfs and euro pinch the omega off and retrograde the closed ridge west while the southern vort moves East. The gfs does it but it's too late and really just a pretty major suppressor

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Damn the energy is falling flat on its ass in the NE. CMC is really amplified, has rain all the way up to DC. Multiple areas of vorticity embedded in the ULL as well

 

[Ollie Williams]

Damn the energy is falling flat on its ass in the NE. CMC is really amplified, has rain all the way up to DC. Multiple areas of vorticity embedded in the ULL as well View attachment 144247

It's coming a lot colder this run, and MSLP is down to 979 MB.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

anybody ever seen a radar look like that? Me either. Something’s gotta give early on

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC looks like crap so far at the SFC but it’s so much better at H5

 

[griteater]

Man that’s pretty for the NC crowd

View attachment 144228

It’s the @1300m winning move

 

[Ollie Williams]

CMC looks like crap so far at the SFC but it’s so much better at H5 View attachment 144251

Rain is at the surface, but this is at least mixed precip across central NC.

 

[iGRXY]

CMC looks like crap so far at the SFC but it’s so much better at H5 View attachment 144251

Makes me think the surface will catch up to the H5 look

 

[Rain Cold]

It's coming a lot colder this run, and MSLP is down to 979 MB.View attachment 144250View attachment 144249

That's actually a textbook position for central/eastern NC snowstorms.

 

[SD]

The cmc and icon are fairly similar with how they handle the undercut and pinching off and they both send the ridge axis NE through Hudson Bay and veer the flow back SW out of Greenland. The gfs is obviously much much different. It'll be interesting to see which way the euro leans tonight.

Rolling that closed ridge west or closing it west and allowing room on the E side for the shortwave and a potential phase sends the ceiling of this event to Pluto but it also can send the rain snow line there too

 

[LukeBarrette]

I got a snow pixel ????