Pattern February 2024

[SD]

 

[olhausen]

Dang just noticed MSP is at 6-8" on the season and they average over 50" on the season.

View attachment 145992

Pretty sure they had record amounts last season. Talk about a flip flop of a season!

 

[SD]

Wow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

WowView attachment 146057

Suddenly went from a pacific polar dominated pattern pattern to one that’s close to supporting a arctic outbreak and setting us up for weeks

 

[1300m]

WowView attachment 146057

There has to be more hits on this run. Look at the southern wave also.

 

[coldfront22]

I’m not sure what to believe. It changes every few hours. I’m rooting for the Euro!

 

[accu35]

There has to be more hits on this run. Look at the southern wave also.

Can you post members

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[SD]

There only remember 3 times where ive seen the eps jump bodily toward cold this quickly in the longer range late Dec 2018, Feb 2021 and the cold shot the Christmas before last. 2 of 3 hit

 

[SD]

Looks like the suite divergence after D10 but it's feels nice to trend positively for once

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

WowView attachment 146057

Amazing what you can do with a little better ridging here back towards SW Canada

 

[1300m]

View attachment 146058View attachment 146059

You can actually see the northern stream injection trend in these H85 temps.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

bang. looks like that run had everything to do with -EPO placement. That’s a massive shift at this range

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The control aka the new weiner printer gives snow on top of snow
1st

2nd

 

[accu35]

Been noticing a few members on the gefs for a southern wave 2. Cold air will be in place

 

[KyloG]

Week 2 trending much colder as the pattern is evolving so much different than a couple of days ago.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS after the storm of interest is pretty active

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

The control aka the new weiner printer gives snow on top of snow
1st
View attachment 146062
2ndView attachment 146065
View attachment 146064

Fro you weren’t lying. Euro was about to dump the vodka. Huge RTR change from the doc this afternoon

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Week 2 trending much colder as the pattern is evolving so much different than a couple of days ago.

View attachment 146069

Is that the Pam Anderson pattern setting up again? Uh oh

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Euro gave us the good piece

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Fro you weren’t lying. Euro was about to dump the vodka. Huge RTR change from the doc this afternoon View attachment 146072

Control was going for a 3rd at the end of the run

 

[1300m]

Definitely a subset of good hits.

 

[Tsappfrog20]

Definitely a subset of good hits.
View attachment 146079
View attachment 146078

I count 10 decent players on the board


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[1300m]

I count 10 decent players on the board


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Yeah there's about 25% of members indicating some snow during the period of interest somewhere over the southeast, which is definitely a decent signal at this range.

 

[SD]

Eps plumes with some 40+ spreads on temps late between highs in the 20s and in the 70s. Good luck everyone

 

[NCSNOW]

I count 10 decent players on the board


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Yea back this way 7-9 whopper category. On top of the greys.

Appreciate all the maps as well as Met, Guru analysis!

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Maybe this guy is in here? He might be onto something. When the AMO flip occurs combine that with the weak PDO years and we may have something?

 

[BullCityWx]

last nights robomodel

 

[LickWx]

RDU hit 76 today, likely a little high but low mid 70s all around. Who can find any reason to complain about that?

 

[BullCityWx]

RDU hit 76 today, likely a little high but low mid 70s all around. Who can find any reason to complain about that?

Man it was beautiful today with that breeze

 

[BullCityWx]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Yeah, some observations had to have come in for the EMCF to do such a 180. Even the wonky JMA did a complete flip-flop from yesterday. Climbing back from the edge of the cliff I am.

 

[gawxnative]

Just a thought... Think maybe could start a "Severe Threat" thread for the 11th and 12th?

 

[Arcc]

I seem to remember someone with a Met tag that said something a few days ago to the tune of “It will funny when everyone loses their minds when the models over extend the Pacific jet only to retract as verification closes in” or something like that.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

No can kicking going on up there above the pole. The polar vortex is about to be rekt.

 

[Snowfan]

I think SD said that.

The freaking out of going to be tasty when the models start seeing the eventual IO convection. That'll nudge the aleutian trough east closer to the WC and the longer range means will erroneously extend wavelengths east and warm the SE on the means only to have to shorten then closer to verification likely warming the SW canada northern rockies and upper Midwest and cooling the SE. I can hear the the source region is too warm, it's warm in north Dakota type posts now

I seem to remember someone with a Met tag that said something a few days ago to the tune of “It will funny when everyone loses their minds when the models over extend the Pacific jet only to retract as verification closes in” or something like that.

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

GFS Out to 147 1032 HP over SE South Dakota …. Hopefully they begin to kiss here over the Farm states


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[SD]

Just a thought... Think maybe could start a "Severe Threat" thread for the 11th and 12th?

You got it

 

[SD]

You gotta know when to hold em know when to fold em

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

You gotta know when to hold em know when to fold emView attachment 146090

The trend is the friend