Pattern February 2024

[accu35]

May be a good Euro run. 1047 H dropping in

 

[accu35]

 

[SD]

Euro is getting better but the southern wave getting more open in faster isn't great

 

[SD]

Buddy you can get a mountain of snow from here or nothing

 

[BullCityWx]

Slightly colder source of air this run. -30 850 temps just north of Lake Superior this run.

 

[RBR71]

Looks weak and South, this good?

 

[RBR71]

Here we go, Euro throwing us that bone

 

[LukeBarrette]

Looks weak and South, this good?

View attachment 145906

 

[Arcc]

Ugh that is a quicker cold air feed from something we wouldn’t forget. Way better look at H5 from last night though.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Jan 2022??

 

[BullCityWx]

Thats the best look I've seen today

 

[RBR71]

Bruh the Euro is solidly on board and darn near something magical

 

[griteater]

Ugh that is a quicker cold air feed from something we wouldn’t forget. Way better look at H5 from last night though.

Also, it's a nod to the GFS of the Baja wave ejecting quicker within the approaching STJet extension

 

[1300m]

Buddy you can get a mountain of snow from here or nothingView attachment 145905

I agree and Im curious to see how much the EPS does assuming it trends like the op did. I’d be shocked not to see at least a few big dogs.

 

[accu35]

Also, it's a nod to the GFS of the Baja wave ejecting quicker within the approaching STJet extension

If the southern energy slows down then would most of the board get in on this?

 

[SD]

Euro was going to be interesting with the following wave as well. I assume that high gets kicked ots but not certain

 

[siesdee]

I would feel better if it was inside 5 days instead of 9 days out.

 

[Arcc]

If this is an actual trend, the board might not survive.

 

[CaryWx]

Also, it's a nod to the GFS of the Baja wave ejecting quicker within the approaching STJet extension

Was going to ask if these are lining up better

 

[Ollie Williams]

I'm glad that the Euro has a storm and cold air, but I don't like that the ridge out west completely breaks down. That would shear out any shortwave.

 

[LukeBarrette]

I'm glad that the Euro has a storm and cold air, but I don't like that the ridge out west completely breaks down. That would shear out any shortwave.

Good thing at this range it could just be noise, wonder what the ensembles say about that.

 

[griteater]

If the southern energy slows down then would most of the board get in on this?

Just comes down to timing with the various pieces. You want to get the cold air in out front, then run the system into it. Other option is a heavy backside phase between the streams (a riskier play)

 

[tarheels2]

Is Georgia in the game at all on this upcoming chance?

 

[Flotown]

boy ole boy euro also close for most everybody

 

[Snowfan]

Is Georgia in the game at all on this upcoming chance?

Anywhere in the Deep South including Georgia is in the game for the 18th/19th system.

 

[packfan98]

eps looking promising. Definitely colder.

 

[tarheels2]

Anywhere in the Deep South including Georgia is in the game for the 18th/19th system.

Thanks. Seems like only NC posting about it so assumed it was only that area

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Y’all might not wanna hear it, but I feel that look on the 12zGFS gives most of us the best chance

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Fools errand to look at MSLP this early but who y’all got?

 

[Parker]

Will be interesting to see the charts but definitely a signal for more of the board. Ain’t much but a trend in the right direction for many of us back west.

 

[Shawn]

Looks like the EPS may be suppressed via early charts. I-20 still in the game!

 

[LukeBarrette]

DT getting pessimistic, his reasoning is fair

 

[Mitch West]

DT getting pessimistic, his reasoning is fair

Bullish & cautious. Makes sense for sure.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

For research purposes

 

[NCSNOW]

I would feel better if it was inside 5 days instead of 9 days out.

The ball will be rolling this time next week and inbound over the latter half of next weekend.

This year isnt like others. Easy for the models to pick up on waves and h5 generalities from 10 days out. What happens when you have a dominant signal. Now getting down to back yard forecast, still need to get inside 5.

 

[Mitch West]

I would take my half inch, order a pizza, and head off into Spring with a smile on my face.

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

I would take my half inch, order a pizza, and head off into Spring with a smile on my face. View attachment 145914

What do the individual members look like if anyone has it?

Sent from my SM-A136U1 using Tapatalk

 

[Parker]

The 00z eps was similar for our area on the snow mean but it only had two members out of the 50 with snow and one was 9 inches, so it was highly skewed. Hopeful that this 12z run picks up on a higher number of members.

 

[KyloG]

DT getting pessimistic, his reasoning is fair

Even JB sounded blah yesterday

 

[packfan98]

Even JB sounded blah yesterday

He did. The end of the road is in sight for the favorable pattern with some of the teleconnections flipping the wrong way by the end of the month.