Nice track on sfc low on GFS on 17-18th but not cold enough. GFS and CMC both have cold highs dropping down into the CONUS though
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Forevertothee
Member
2/20/24 moisture breaking out in Texas with established 540 line down into SC. May have another fantasy storm incoming?
Forevertothee
Member
Like the position of the 1034 H with the L to the west.
Forevertothee
Member
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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2017-2023 Supporter
High is leaving quickly, rain for many.Like the position of the 1034 H with the L to the west.
rburrel2
Member
Screwed by a lakes low on 2/17 and on 2/21 per the 12z GFS. That would be awful.
We really need the 50/50 low to get set up in the right spot and bomb out. The C-shape of low heights strung around the davis straights block isn't gonna get it done for us b/c that's promoting the constant great-lakes low train.
We really need the 50/50 low to get set up in the right spot and bomb out. The C-shape of low heights strung around the davis straights block isn't gonna get it done for us b/c that's promoting the constant great-lakes low train.
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sugar mountain Ski trip date is finally in view and we cookin’ ????
The GEPS has seemed to do very well the last few months
NCSNOW
Member
Reminds me of Jan outbreak, warms up just in time for moisture to pass through, then as soon as it exits cold and dry comes back in. Surely that want happen to us on two separate occasions within the same season lol. I'm rooting hard and ready for this pattern to get here and see if it can produce. Appreciate all the discussion on it by so many.
Mahomeless
Member
That HP is going to HAVE to be further west or you can hang it up for anyone outside of the mountains.
This is why I feel we need to have the PV consolidate further to the east. With it stretched and split into several pieces, the upper level convergence gets interrupted. That's another reason I favor later -- from roughly the 20th ish -- onward as that's when the EPS and CMCE have a better congealing of the PV further east.
What has happened? I thought that 50/50 low was anchored until about mid March yesterday. Dang we can’t catch a break!
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I was thinking the same thing when forevertothee posted that first map,
Would've been money had it been somewhere between Iowa & Indiana.
Interesting watching the Npac slp retrograde back to the Aleutians by end of the row....pattern got staying power.
We going to be tracking snow into March whether you like or not.
We going to be tracking snow into March whether you like or not.
CMC ens has basically locked on to this timeframe as a time of interest as the broad southern stream wave moves into the GOM encouraging a big slug of moisture, and a nice trough to our NE aka 50/50 
Avalanche
Member
Yes. A poster alluded to this earlier. Below normal now implies it might be too warm for significant snow.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Still has the miller B type look on the 12z GEFS
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It really would be awesome if somehow we could make this first system work.. But the cold just isn't getting in fast enough.
This is really not anything more than a rainstorm for non-mountainous areas. Not a good winter weather pattern in place during this time frame.
accu35
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You may be right but so far it looks good
You sort of called the flurry watch first. I’m longing your plan for success from the 15th into early March.
Let’s nudge that 6” swath through the midlands a little further north through MBY then we’re cooking
Back to the mating we need...if we can get that ns energy to dig back further west would make a beautiful baby
Ensembles showing more stream interaction with the Monday system which would yank the storm track north. Not a bad thing as that would put down some snow to our north and pull down some cold behind it.
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Interesting it seems to end us as snow like the control run at 0z
WolfpackHomer91
Member
thats pretty.... as you said move it West a bit and thats a nice one
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