Pattern February 2024

[rburrel2]

The 12z Ukmet is pretty far east with tpv lobe. Looks like it's winding up tight though. Good or bad?

I think it definitely wouldn't be suppressed and CAD/ high location should be in a really good location.

Our storm forming in the Southwest looks beefy!

 

[Ollie Williams]

The CMC Caved!

 

[KyloG]

GFS v/s Canadian....big MA snow on CMC. Much weaker 50/50 on CMC...we need to blend the GFS/CMC and we would have something

 

[hky1894]

CMC finally shows something, it’s sloppy but anything is better then it’s previous solutions View attachment 143823View attachment 143824

Cmc is phasing in the northern stream so close to an total bomb

Sent from my SM-A236U using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The 12z Ukmet is pretty far east with tpv lobe. Looks like it's winding up tight though. Good or bad?

I think it definitely wouldn't be suppressed and CAD/ high location should be really good location.View attachment 143827

With a TPV extension like that looks like a classic Miller B mix bag setup per that H5 look

 

[Flotown]

boy ole boy at the range of possibilities with this thing...

 

[Mitch West]

Ain’t no way fam. Bro we just having fun at this point.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

CMC doing that hard headed thing where it slowly moves towards the center of other guidance. Wouldn’t surprise me if it met even more southward tonight and posterized the Carolinas with an epic weenie roast of a run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m the reason this showed up by the way

Remember when we used to get setups like this

First call fro-model run for the week 1 Feb winter storm

 

[Spurs up]

Ain’t no way fam. Bro we just having fun at this point. View attachment 143830

another screen shot for my what could have been archive

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

With a TPV extension like that looks like a classic Miller B mix bag setup per that H5 look

I just ain’t seeing the run of the mill Miller B ingredients here but that’s just maybe because I’m an amateur map reader at best. Usually we get some sort of ridging moving in off the Atlantic in those setups.

 

[Webberweather53]

Starting to see the classic double-barrel jet look on the GFS & CMC as this thing reaches the SE US Coast

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Ain’t no way fam. Bro we just having fun at this point. View attachment 143830

The CMC found another way to make it snow in the SE. It actually drops another short wave pinched off from the northern stream behind the initial system lol.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Starting to see the classic double-barrel jet look on the GFS & CMC as this thing reaches the SE US Coast

Double barrel jet = bomb. One of the things you see in severe wx season and you know the setup is gonna be big if there isn’t a bunch of junk

 

[Mitch West]

another screen shot for my what could have been archive

Stay positive. We have to will this into reality.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like this gefs run the vortex is a bit east, but digging more, resulting in colder air entrenched east of the apps

 

[Carolina Sky]

Starting to see the classic double-barrel jet look on the GFS & CMC as this thing reaches the SE US Coast

Trying to temper the interest but hard to deny the models are starting to sound the alarms.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Southern wave is meaty this gefs run, even more then last run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[rburrel2]

Just as you'd expect the 12z GEFS is more icy with the eastward shift of tpv and the slightly slower southern wave.

Doesn't hurt my feelings one bit though because I think those trends lead to more wintery hits in general. I'll take sleet and freezing rain

There's no doubt that trend is bad for anyone in the mid-south that doesn't get in on CAD though.